Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 15
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Quote:
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so you brick slightly more than 1/2 the time. This assumes you need the straight to win, which is no way. Bet 5th.
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Doesn't hero miss straight about 1/3 of the time? Maybe I'm wrong, but with a 4-card straight on 5th st. (two cards to come), don't his odds against improving look more like:
5th st.:
52-12= 40
(40-7)/40 = .825
6th st.:
(38-7)/38 = .816
Odds against straight:
.825*.816 = .673
And, at these stakes (no fold equity!!!), I'm not sure that betting out on 5th st. is a good idea. A raise on 6th st. is warranted, though.
Maybe no... keep in mind, I'm a noob...
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