Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 31
|
|
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by Miffed22001
the math said you'd have to call the 3bet range super tight, so i guess your shove = pwned which youve pretty much just said anyways.
|
I have a hard time believing the math because the results seems counterintuitive:
Opponents range Chance opponent is willing to felt the flop
Other crap 20.00% 6.60%
AK 28.57% 9.43%
AQ 28.57% 9.43%
AA 10.71% 10.71%
KK 10.71% 8.38%
QQ 10.71% 6.47%
JJ 10.71% 4.92%
Total chance opponent will felt the flop: 0.56%
Which means with a random flop, we can expect the opponent to fold to our push a little less than half the time. This is too low to make money with our sets, but too high to make money with SCs. I am pretty sure we can't profitably push QQ here either. So the only hands that can profitably call this 3-bet are AA and KK? Am I missing something?
|