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Seabass
Old 03-31-2008, 01:24 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Straight

Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: trying not to die
Posts: 205
Seabass
So I'm a random nit. I 3b from utg+1, so my range here is big pairs with a few AK for bad balance.

Flop is scary, I bet, yay me. Fnord push. Given the small sample of hands I'm going to assume that Fnord has a big hand. I dont think it's +ev to try to push a rather unknown nit of his narrow range here after the 3bet.

So I should fold and I'm going to guess that Fnord has JJ.

Even if he is balancing I doubt it's going to be balanced enough to make calling the better play. Someone who aint lazy could perhaps run some numbers on that.

I think the key here is the small number of hands, but I've been wrong before.
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