4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 3,206
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If he has a pair he probably has an A or K to go with. If he has more than a pair our 1 pair outs are no good and he often has redraws.
limp/call/tank-call doesnt really make sense to me as being QQ but not many hands make sense how he played it.
I think his range is more like
Probable: 88/33/AQ/QQ
Less Likely: AKc/JcJ/TcT
I think he probably shoves AA/KK at somepoint preflop. We cant count it as a 15 out draw because the times our one pair outs are good are canceled by the times he has redraws with sets or he holds on of our outs. We have 36% against his "probable" range which is almost exactly what we need. The more often he has "less likely" hands the more +EV it becomes so I think its a marginal call.
Thats pretty interesting though because I thought it was a pretty easy fold at first.
edit: Actually I think he has 88/33 far more often than QQ/AQ here since you have the Ac so its probably a marginal fold.
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