4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: The University of TEXAS at Austin
Posts: 2,237
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Spenda: indeed, indeed.
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One play for tonight:
Cincy/NE UNDER 54 (-105)
2 units at BetTrojan
I know that Cincy's defense is supposed to be swiss cheese. I know that the Patriots are supposed to score just a ridiculous amount on Cincy tonight. I know that Cincy's offense is pretty much the only thing that they DO have going for them.
But you know what? I think this total's kinda high. And I think it's artificially high because of the game being on Monday Night and people betting on the Patriots to destroy Cincy tonight.
Now, I could be wrong and this game could go into the stratosphere, but I think that this game will end up being a lot more slow paced than most people think. Plus, the starting RB for Cincy is injured and out. The starting RB for the Patriots is questionable. So is a starting offensive lineman for the Patriots.
And let's look at who the Patriots have played: these defenses have been ripped up by other teams that weren't nearly as talented on offense as the Patriots are supposed to be. NYJ, SD, BUF. Heck, the anemic offenses of the Jets and the Bills were able to put just about 20 on each other.
and let's look at the Bengals: They've played Cleveland, Seattle, and Baltimore. Yes, Baltimore is a good defense; but they were limited in points in that game and had great starting field position handed to them pretty much immediately to start the game. Cleveland? They've been torched for most of the season. Seattle? Never really been known for a stifling defense.
So here's to a tight, close game that ends well under the total of 54.
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