Straight Flush
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 7,148
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Regs at 200nl normally will raise the flop here with sets. Royalsu is a pretty standard reg. That being said this is more likely of a board where he wouldn't raise the flop with lets say 44.
Although it's pretty safe to say his range on the flop is heavily weighted towards a draw (he didn't raise the flop and he called an UTG raise OTB). Your turn bet size is fine.
Now lets think of what royalsu puts you on.
Really you either have a one pair hand that will fold to a turn raise a good amount or a set. It's reasonable to think that he thought he had more FE with this line with some sort of draw, OR more likely picked up a stronger draw on the turn and decided to turn it into a bluff.
My range for him is 60% draw, 30%44 or TT, and 10% 55.
Which seems to me makes it a push.
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