Straight Flush
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Ballarat, Australia
Posts: 5,842
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On the flop I'm almost certain I'm ahead. AQ is unlikey given PF limps (although I've seen worse limps). You can never discount a set or two pair, but a draw is much more likely, especially with that little bet.
So coming into the turn I'm worried about 9 hearts, and probably any card from 9-A other than another Q (even K is risky for me). That said, theres no reason to believe one of them is actually the card that beats me. The problem is, can I get not only my money AI before the river, but get opps money AI before the river and still be ahead?
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