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taipan168
Old 06-29-2007, 04:02 AM #9 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bjsaust
Quote:
Originally Posted by taipan168
Flop: I would raise a bit more with TPGK on that drawy board - you're offering opp almost 3.5 to 1 to peel off another card. I'd make it 250 to go to give opp incorrect odds to chase.
What odds am I trying to set on a flop like that?
Well, if opp is on the flush draw then they are about 4:1 to hit their flush. Add the possibility of an overcard (ace?) then they are 12/46 to hit on the turn. That's 2.8 to 1 against. I'd be looking to set odds about that or slightly worse. Raising to 250 would give him odds to call of (165 in pot + his 60 donkbet + your 250 raise = 475/190 for him to call = 2.5 to 1).

If they're on an OESD then they are 4.75 to 1 against to hit on the turn so your raise is fine - but since you don't know which it is I'd lean towards raising more.

Of course, this assumes that you're ahead to start with and not crushed by AK, a set or 2 pair.
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