4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: The University of TEXAS at Austin
Posts: 2,237
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Going against Zook for my one play tonight, to a point where we could both lose 
New York Moneyline (+196)
1 unit at Matchbook
Public is on Detroit at about a 2:1 margin, and yet the line has moved from its opener of 5.5 to 5.
.5 units - 66%
1 unit - reverse line move one point
Using discretion, this would make this a 1 unit play. I'll post the line I get later; I just wanted y'all to know where I stood for the night.
Also,
Memphis -1.5 (-105)
1 unit at BetTrojan
Pinnacle has been trying to keep money away from Memphis all day, posting a -1 (-113) earlier in the day while the line was still -1 (-110). Now, they're posting a -1.5 (-109) while everyone else has a -1 .5 (-110). Actually, a few shops still have -1 (-110), but not enough.
And a respected handicapper also posted Memphis as one of his top plays; however, he hasn't been too hot with his NBA big plays just yet. We'll see what happens in teh future.
In accordance with this info, that would make this play a 1 unit play (I'm trying to be conservative here. 
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