4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 2,910
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by CaseAce
I think I got it down now.
Pot is 1000, someone bet 500 into it. Pots now 1500, my pot odds are 3-1.
I have a flush draw on the flop. 9 outs * 4 = 36%
36%-64%
1.7-1?
I should fold? My pot odds are lower than my outs ratio. Right?
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This is why I don't use ratio's, it just adds needless confusion.
Pot is 1000, someone bets 500 into it. Pot is 1500, you have to pay 500 into what will be a 2000 pot or 25%. This is the same as 3:1.
Now, you have a flush draw. Odds to hit over turn+river is 36%. But: Odds to hit on the turn alone is 18% (4.5:1). And 25%/3:1 (what you have to pay) is more than 18%/4.5:1 (the chance you hit your flush).
So by pot odds alone this is not a call.
If you calculate over turn+river, which is assuming you don't have to pay again to see the river card, then we get: We pay 25%/3:1 for a 36%/2:1 chance to hit. So you have odds to call. You came to the wrong conclusion here somehow. If you look at the percentages though, it's a lot clearer.
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