4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Waiting in the shadows ...
Posts: 3,777
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by CaseAce
Pot is 1000, someone bet 500 into it. Pots now 1500, my pot odds are 3-1.
I have a flush draw on the flop. 9 outs * 4 = 36%
36%-64%
1.7-1?
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1-1.7 (just being anal)
Quote:
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Originally Posted by CaseAce
I should fold? My pot odds are lower than my outs ratio. Right?
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Here you should call. We'll round your odds to 1:2, so you win once, and loose twice. When you win you get 1500 (don't count your own money you are adding). When you loose twice it's 2*500 = 1000. So making this call yields 1500 - 1000 = +500, which is good.
Mathematically this is a fine example, but practically it isn't. The river card may not be free, the odds of you hitting your flush on the turn is 9 * 2 = 18%, which is about 1:4.
Now you win 1500 once, loose 500 4 times. 1500 - 2000 = -500, which is bad.
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