Straight
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 236
|
|
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by Pyroxene
If you are saying that the amount of money they have is unimportant, I disagree. Them having little money completely eliminates the chance of you making a big mistake with regards to someone who is yet to act.
|
For anyone still following this thread, I wanted to quantify what I mean by the above; maybe it will help explain why I like the tiny stack behind me.
The Table
In my real life example above, komodo1 had just over 7BB. I will happily bump him up to 10BB for my example; and I'll call him Sam.
The Hand
Sam is on the button and, thus, I am in the CO. I have AQos which is the worst hand that I will still raise against limpers. An EP player limps in who I have noted limps in with crap often. It folds to me and I raise it to 4BB (my standard raise). Suddenly Sam goes All-In with his 10BB and the action folds back around to me.
What to do, what to do?
IMO, Poker is about making good (profitable) choices and influencing your opponents to make bad (costly) choices. But Sam cannot get me to make a bad choice here. Because calling his All-In is profitable.
Really?
The pot is 16.5 BB and I need to invest 6BB to call giving me 2.75:1 odds. Thanks Pyro, so what?
If Sam has JJ (or lower pairs) then this is a 43.8:56.2 call producing an EV of +3.86BB.
If Sam has QQ then this is a 31.3:68.7 call producing an EV of +1.04BB.
If Sam has KK then this is a 29.1:70.9 call producing an EV of +0.55BB (yes, a call against pocket kings is net positive).
If Sam has AKos then this is a 26.4:73.6 call producing an EV of -0.06BB.
If Sam has AA then this is a 8.6:91.4 call producing an EV of -4.07BB.
If we assume his All-In range is JJ+,AKos then it is a 29.1:70.9 call producing an EV of +0.55BB.
So, it is a net +EV call on the range with a worst case of only -4.07BB EV... pffffft.
And, to be complete, if I had AKos instead of AQos then it would be a EV of +3.11 call with a worst case of only -4.16BB EV.
This is why I like the tiny stacks to the left.
|