4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Party 6 max
Posts: 1,602
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Originally Posted by Cocco_Bill
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Originally Posted by ttanaka
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Or, bet $100 bets and quit once I reach the wagering requirement and hope I'm up more than the bonus so I can withdraw something?
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You should never quit before you reach your goal! Do you want to profit $200, $400 or more? Whatever you decide to set as a goal you will have to play until you reach it or bust. The small wagering requirement is not the problem here, it can be completed with small bets once you reach that goal. |
Can you give a single mathematical reason why there would be higher expected value from continuing to play a negative expected value game once your wagering requirement is met, just to reach some arbitrary "goal"?
I don't actually play blackjack online, so I admit I am not 100% versed in the effects of a sticky bonus.
Second, doubling down NEVER increases your chances of winning. It in fact ALWAYS decreases your chance of winning. However, the expected value that you gain by doubling your bet is greater than what you gain in winrate by simply hitting. This is why many casinos will usually let you "double for less" but will not let you split for less.
Splitting is slightly different in that it allows you to win more or lose less. Using the example of AA and 88. 2 aces is obviously better than a 12, with 88, you will still often lose with 2 8s, but less often than when you have 16.
Third (to answer a different question) it doesn't much matter what chart you use to play blackjack. Charts are mathematically proven, and with the exception of some kind of typo, they will be the same for games with the same rules. Also the difference between 6 and 8 decks is barely enough to raise the house odds, but not enough to make any changes to basic strategy.
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