Flush
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 346
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The terrible play was by you. You call a PF reraise when you say it's pretty much a clear indication he has AA/A2, prehaps even AA2, while you have JJJ5.
He gets a pretty good flop. His is a good AI, not a bad one. You've been pushing him around and it's hardly likely you have both the low and high here. He's short stacked and has probably picked up one of his best hands for a while, to throw it away would be idiocy. That you managed to hit a fantastic flop doesn't make his AI stupid.
What are the best cards you could put him on:
Omaha Hi/Low 8-or-better: 820 enumerated boards containing 4s Jc 8c
cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV
Js Jd 5d Jh 223 442 378 0 0 0 0 0.405
Ts 9s Ac 2c 378 378 442 0 495 0 0 0.595
But really that's just giving him an extra 6 outs. ANY low+flush draw has you behind here.
Omaha Hi/Low 8-or-better: 820 enumerated boards containing 4s Jc 8c
cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV
Js Jd 5d Jh 230 538 282 0 0 0 0 0.468
Ks 9s 5c 2c 282 282 538 0 520 0 0 0.532
Anyway. It's clear that he has to bet the flop. When you come over the top he has to call. He has a strong, if not great, hand and there is probably more than enough doubt in what cards you are playing to make the call.
I mean, hell, he's not that big a dog even if he puts you on the set:
Omaha Hi/Low 8-or-better: 820 enumerated boards containing 4s Jc 8c
cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV
Js Jd 5d Jh 515 515 305 0 0 0 0 0.628
Ts 9s Ac Ad 305 305 515 0 0 0 0 0.372
So in summary, the only bad play I see here is your PF call, and him not re-raising the pot pf.
Should he bet the flop? Yes.
Should you raise the flop? Yes.
Should he go AI at this point? Given he's shortstacked and you've been playing it very loose, Yes.
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