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arkana
Old 11-01-2005, 02:53 PM #17 (permalink)  
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arkana
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gabe
Quote:
Originally Posted by arkana
Adding in more aces actually help because the ratio of the number of hands in his range that dominate your hand (AA-QQ, AK, AQ) to the number of hands that you either dominate or are close to a coinflip with becomes smaller and therefore your hand will hold up more often (about 45% of the time instead of 32%)
it is definitely more -EV. adding small pairs and all the aces in the range gives alot more situations where you are behind by a small margin, and if you consistently do this in party sngs you will lose lots of chips. the pot odds might help compensate for this a little, but in general you don't want people calling pushes.

also, although you have a higher win percentage against this range, it is still losing to the range. my guess is that the number of hands you get called by increases enough to overcome the smaller edge your opponent has.

i might not have explained this well, but SNG power tools say pushing here loses more against a wider range. i know thats a lame way of trying to justify my argument, but it's usually what i consult when i can decide how correct a push is.
I think its probably due to the high variance this push has (its definitely not a big +EV move) and that combined with ICM doesnt make it worthwhile. I don't know how those SNG power tools work but does it take into account the fact that other players are less likely to call if someone else has called already or does it just assume any player with that range will call no matter what the action?
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