Full House
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Drowning in prosperity
Posts: 1,279
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Room
Not sure if I like the turn c/r here based on his flop raise. On this board, what is he raising the flop w/? It looks like you probably got A high or a small PP to fold here, however, I don't know if this play is going to get our opponent to fold often enough to do it frequently. Also, if your oppenent 3bets, what's your play?
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I'd count at least 15 outs, so his chances of drawing out coupled with folding equity make it a good play. If you consider only the bluff component of this semi-bluff, he's risking about 2/3 of a bet to win 6.5, so he needs a fold only about 9% of the time to make it +EV.
If your opponent three-bets, call and suck out.
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