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a500lbgorilla
Old 06-27-2005, 08:41 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by journey075
that kind of question depends on a huge list of variables. is this a person who overplays big cards/smaller pairs? does he understand that limp/raises or raises from the blinds indictate big hands?

im not sure you can find any generic amount to raise that would commit him on any flop if you both had 100bb stacks.


if you raised 4x his bet it might be possible, but i think hes going to be wary on any flop and only call if he has you beat - especially considering that he does have position on you.
I understand that very well. I'm trying to strip the answer down to the absolutes and then build upon it.

It's basically this, how often does AA get outflopped by any random hand? If it's at most 1 in 8, then you'd need to get 1/8th of your 100 bb stack in preflop to break even. Right? So, I guess you'd need to get 12.5bb in preflop.

So basically getting in 12.5% of the smaller stack almost ensures that aces will be +EV.

Right?

-'rilla

Smithers, use the amnesia ray.
You mean the revolver, sir?
Precisely.
 
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