4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 2,911
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Hey, thanks. I always thought the odds of getting a OESD on connectors was about 10%, but I was always too lazy to calculate it. Also, I like to do them in my head, and I CANNOT do the straight draws in my head (I also round fractions)
A few things to add on...
"edge" connectors like 23 and KQ make fewer straights (duh)
For flopping the straight, deduct one "S" (.3265%) for each step closer to the edge:
QJ = ~0.98% (~100:1)
KQ =~0.66% (~150:1)
AK = 0.3265% (~300:1)
Same for 34/23/A2.
For draws, the double bellybusters become just gutshots... and I am NOT going to calculate odds of getting a gutshot draw on the flop! And there are fewer OESDs, too
QJ - 2 possible OESDs, 6.5%
KQ - only one possible, 3.265%
AK, of course, cannot flop an OESD.
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