| Author |
Message |
|
Posted: Thu, 26 Jan 2006, 11:54am Post subject: bottom two in a raised pot
|
 |
|
EAT BUGS
Joined: 07 Dec 2004
Posts: 7810
WPP: 51
Location: trying to live
|
|
sorry for no HH, not at home computer
effective stacks are $200, UTG is bad, no read on button except for he hasn't played too many hands and in the two orbits ive been there. i havent seen him raise yet, so hes kinda passive.
UTG limps for $2, i make it $9 on the CO with 97s (suit unimportant). Button calls, blinds fold, UTG calls.
Flop comes A97 rainbow, pot is $30.
UTG checks, I bet 26, button calls, UTG folds.
I am pretty sure I'm ahead here. I dont think he would have T8, and him having 99 or 77 is very unlikely because of my holdings.
Turn is a 6, board is A976 (complete rainbow) and the pot is $82.
I bet $65, he calls.
I'm now behind A6 but I think he would have raised me if he had this. I am pretty sure I'm still ahead of his range.
River is an 8, board is A9768, pot is now $212.
gar! I'm behind AT-A5 now. The hands I beat are AK AQ AJ and baby aces. I think I would have heard from him earlier if he had AK or AQ or had two pair, so I think his range is something like AJ AT A2-A5.
We both have about $100 behind. What do i do? Check fold? Try to block the river? Like I said, he hasn't been too aggressive so I don't think he would bluff me out with a bad made hand, but I'm not sure. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Thu, 26 Jan 2006, 1:52pm Post subject:
|
|
|
4-of-a-Kind
Joined: 28 Jul 2004
Posts: 2911
WPP: 107
|
|
AA? Puts you on AX/PP for raising PF?
I check the river here... maybe he will check behind with trips/two pair. I don't think he can fold anything that beats you to an A/I at this point, since it's only 1/2 pot. (I mean... he could if he was a moron... but I would rather have evidence of that) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Thu, 26 Jan 2006, 3:05pm Post subject:
|
|
|
Flush
Joined: 05 Oct 2005
Posts: 270
WPP: 81
Location: London
|
|
| Tough one, the button can probably guess you haven't got the straight, especially if you check the river and you may be open to a bluff. A $20 blocking bet may stop this and confuse some hands that are beating you just to call. If he pushes back then I think you can feel safer about laying it down. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Fri, 27 Jan 2006, 9:28am Post subject:
|
|
|
4-of-a-Kind
Joined: 05 Jan 2005
Posts: 1706
WPP: 149
Location: Kansas
|
|
| finky wrote: | | Tough one, the button can probably guess you haven't got the straight, especially if you check the river and you may be open to a bluff. A $20 blocking bet may stop this and confuse some hands that are beating you just to call. If he pushes back then I think you can feel safer about laying it down. |
I like this.
Only hands here' you're really beating that would call you down this far are AK/AQ/AJ.
AT, A9, A6, 99, 77, and any T smokes you here...Throw the blocking bet out there and he will let you know if you are beat or not. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Fri, 27 Jan 2006, 10:34am Post subject:
|
|
|
4-of-a-Kind
Joined: 22 Apr 2005
Posts: 3173
WPP: 88
Location: Putney, UK; Full Tilt,Mansion; $50 NL and PL; $13 and $16 SNGs at Stars
|
|
| The button would only have called with AJ-AA or 77-TT. His smooth calling implies he's ahead; he is unlikely to have a set, certainly, but it's not impossible by any means. I think you need to bet here because he WILL raise if you don't. This doesn't necessarily mean I think you'll win, but on the plus side I think AK is his single most likely holding. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Fri, 27 Jan 2006, 11:08am Post subject:
|
|
|
Straight Flush
Joined: 21 Jun 2005
Posts: 7707
WPP: 71
Location: Petra Marklund FTW ^^^^
|
|
hmmm
i think you check and call any bet he makes, including a push. Risky, but you're hand is well disguised here.
Any hand that beats you (set AT) would have made a play by now you would expect, or will check behind anyway. Only really a set of any type that beats you, i cant see AT calling down all that way unless he really sucks and got lucky. T9/T8 are the only other hands i might put opp on here.
T9 looks more possible, but i could be a mile away |
|
|
|
|
|
|
FTR 5 Year $300 Freeroll on Full Tilt Dec 4th + FTR Gear!
