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Operation Low Stakes Baller

  
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Renton
Post Posted: Tue, 30 Oct 2007, 11:01pm    Post subject: Operation Low Stakes Baller Reply with quote
HABITUAL LINE-STEPPER
HABITUAL LINE-STEPPER

Joined: 13 Jan 2006
Posts: 5226
WPP: 74
Location: Atlanta, GA, USA
Hi,

I'm a midstakes full ring professional poker player. I have a few problems which I will now list:

- fancy play syndrome:
i find myself mixing it up and making speculative plays way too much when i play 2/4 and 3/6, and like 90% of them don't work.

- losing focus:
i find that my "a" game is an ever fluctuating thing that i can not control no matter how hard i try. Sadly, 2/4+ games are tough enough now that if im playing my b minus game all the time i basically am destined to break even or even possibly lose.

- tilt: i have a tilt problem. Not a huge one, but i definitely still tilt. I don't even get like super pissed whenever things don't go my way, but i definitely believe that it at least subtly affects my game. I think immediate 4 digit monetary swings are enough to trigger this response for me.

- lack of stamina: for some reason i cant play longer than like 1k hands anymore. Its fucking ridiculous. In december and january i played over 120k hands each month, since then i seriously struggle to put in more than 50-60k.

- I'm probably not a huge winner.
I think its highly likely that my winrate at 1/2 is close to twice as high as at 2/4 and higher. Lets break this down some.

Let's assume for a moment that my winrate at 2/4 full ring on stars is 2ptbb/100. Thats probably about what it is lifetime, even though i've def got better at poker since my first 2/4 hand. Ok fuck it, lets say 2.5.

My lifetime winrate at 1/2 full ring on stars is just over 3ptbb/100 (300+ k hands). Once again, ive definitely gotten much better since i played my first hand of 1/2. I would wager that i could be 4-5ptbb at least lifetime at it now, 12 tabling.

Rake paid at 2/4 is similar to 1/2, so the Rakeback difference is minor at best. Secondly, its much easier to multitable 1/2 since there are tons of games going and they are always good. Often times 2/4 isn't very good and you have to mix and match and things get a little sketchy. So what im getting at is that its safe to say that if i played solely 1/2 my mt-ratio would be over 12, whereas my mt ratio at 2/4 would be something like 8 to 10, we'll say 9.

So, 9 tabling 2/4 for 2.5ptbb/100, or 12+ tabling 1/2 for 3.5+ ptbb/100, both with similar Rakeback payouts. A quick calculation indicates that i'd make about 160/hour at 2/4 and 151/hour at 1/2. A 9 dollar difference. Is 2/4 worth it, making 9 more dollars an hour for a massive increase in variance and stress. I think not.

So here's what im going to do about it:


Starting tomorrow, and tentatively ending on November 30, I'm going to play ONLY 1/2 full ring, with my goals being as follows:

1. Learn how to grind again. By 'grind' i mean playing long sessions, consistently, without tilt. Hopefully playing 1/2 exclusively with a $50k roll will help facilitate this.

2. See how much money can be made in one month at 1/2. I'm going to make a serious run at playing 100-150k hands, in an attempt to make around 15-20k dollars.

3. This will lead to my reevaluation as to whether its even worth it to move up.


I'll keep you all posted in here, and get one of those nifty banners.

NOTE: EVERYONE IN CONTACT WITH ME ON AIM BITCH ME OUT IF I SHOW YOU A HH THAT ISN'T 1/2 FULL RING.
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zook
Post Posted: Wed, 31 Oct 2007, 1:27am    Post subject: Reply with quote
4-of-a-Kind
4-of-a-Kind

Joined: 02 Mar 2006
Posts: 3316
WPP: 85
Location: practicing mindfulness
GL NIT
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zook
Post Posted: Wed, 31 Oct 2007, 1:32am    Post subject: Reply with quote
4-of-a-Kind
4-of-a-Kind

Joined: 02 Mar 2006
Posts: 3316
WPP: 85
Location: practicing mindfulness
Seriously though, GL. Nothing wrong with hating variance. You're gonna own the 1/2 fishies.
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daven
Post Posted: Wed, 31 Oct 2007, 1:35am    Post subject: Reply with quote
4-of-a-Kind
4-of-a-Kind

Joined: 10 Aug 2007
Posts: 2039
WPP: 70
Location: the ether
intriguing. Kill it. And post some 10k hands updates please! I think this op thread could be loads of value for me - I'm looking forward to April-ish next year when I'll hopefully have worked my br to $5k++, I'll finish my current contract, I'll have a bunch of money set aside to live on, and plan to have my first shot at playing seriously/surf lifestyling....
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IowaSkinsFan
Post Posted: Wed, 31 Oct 2007, 3:04pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Almost as bad as that idiot redgrape
Almost as bad as that idiot redgrape

Joined: 29 Oct 2004
Posts: 6111
WPP: 73

Considering im a 10ptbb/100 winner at 1/2 HU im highly considering doing this too, however i find myself not wanting to because my ultimate goal is to get better.
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I Like Pie
Post Posted: Wed, 31 Oct 2007, 6:49pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Season V
Season V

Joined: 14 May 2006
Posts: 355
WPP: 85
Location: Toronto, Canada
IowaSkinsFan wrote:
Considering im a 10ptbb/100 winner at 1/2 HU im highly considering doing this too, however i find myself not wanting to because my ultimate goal is to get better.


Just wondering, how do you figure out your winrate playing HU? How many hands are you using?
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spoonitnow
Post Posted: Thu, 01 Nov 2007, 1:08pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
4-of-a-Kind
4-of-a-Kind

Joined: 25 Sep 2005
Posts: 2837
WPP: 106
Location: #flopturnriver
gl boss
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IowaSkinsFan
Post Posted: Thu, 01 Nov 2007, 1:30pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Almost as bad as that idiot redgrape
Almost as bad as that idiot redgrape

Joined: 29 Oct 2004
Posts: 6111
WPP: 73

I Like Pie wrote:
IowaSkinsFan wrote:
Considering im a 10ptbb/100 winner at 1/2 HU im highly considering doing this too, however i find myself not wanting to because my ultimate goal is to get better.


Just wondering, how do you figure out your winrate playing HU? How many hands are you using?


25k hands of that, so really not a large sample but knowing whats possible, how big of an edge i have against opponents, and a general feel for how im running i figure it's that.
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Renton
Post Posted: Sat, 03 Nov 2007, 4:56am    Post subject: Reply with quote
HABITUAL LINE-STEPPER
HABITUAL LINE-STEPPER

Joined: 13 Jan 2006
Posts: 5226
WPP: 74
Location: Atlanta, GA, USA


ok things are going pretty much terribly. I feel like im playing very well though and hopefully things will turn around.

I would post some hands, but fuck it who cares they are all just retarded bad beats.
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biondino
Post Posted: Sat, 03 Nov 2007, 12:20pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
4-of-a-Kind
4-of-a-Kind

Joined: 22 Apr 2005
Posts: 3173
WPP: 88
Location: Putney, UK; Full Tilt,Mansion; $50 NL and PL; $13 and $16 SNGs at Stars
Flop AF 8.46 - tasty fodder for the laggs!
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IowaSkinsFan
Post Posted: Sat, 03 Nov 2007, 12:53pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Almost as bad as that idiot redgrape
Almost as bad as that idiot redgrape

Joined: 29 Oct 2004
Posts: 6111
WPP: 73

How many tables are you playing? 16?
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Renton
Post Posted: Sat, 03 Nov 2007, 6:53pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
HABITUAL LINE-STEPPER
HABITUAL LINE-STEPPER

Joined: 13 Jan 2006
Posts: 5226
WPP: 74
Location: Atlanta, GA, USA
mainly 12
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IowaSkinsFan
Post Posted: Sat, 03 Nov 2007, 8:02pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Almost as bad as that idiot redgrape
Almost as bad as that idiot redgrape

Joined: 29 Oct 2004
Posts: 6111
WPP: 73

so far from 16 tabling 1/2 6 max after 10k hands im running 6ptBB/100. LOL so ez.
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wufwugy
Post Posted: Wed, 07 Nov 2007, 8:43pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Full House
Full House

Joined: 30 May 2006
Posts: 1331
WPP: 139

Just saw this. Good luck man. Makes me kinda nervous that you think your winrate is 2ptbb at 2/4 since you're better than me.

Post some of your boc hands.

Do you notice a difference between the 1/2 you used to play and the post table increase 1/2?
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Massimo
Post Posted: Wed, 07 Nov 2007, 11:01pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Almost as bad as that idiot heybude
Almost as bad as that idiot heybude

Joined: 06 Aug 2006
Posts: 2739
WPP: 72

IowaSkinsFan wrote:
so far from 16 tabling 1/2 6 max after 10k hands im running 6ptBB/100. LOL so ez.


I think you're really helping renton here lol.
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Massimo
Post Posted: Wed, 07 Nov 2007, 11:02pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Almost as bad as that idiot heybude
Almost as bad as that idiot heybude

Joined: 06 Aug 2006
Posts: 2739
WPP: 72

If you're playing very well renton then you're going to make money soon, you know that.

Good luck.
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IowaSkinsFan
Post Posted: Wed, 07 Nov 2007, 11:21pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Almost as bad as that idiot redgrape
Almost as bad as that idiot redgrape

Joined: 29 Oct 2004
Posts: 6111
WPP: 73

Massimo wrote:
IowaSkinsFan wrote:
so far from 16 tabling 1/2 6 max after 10k hands im running 6ptBB/100. LOL so ez.


I think you're really helping renton here lol.


I'm trying to be an attention whore here.
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Renton
Post Posted: Thu, 08 Nov 2007, 12:51pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
HABITUAL LINE-STEPPER
HABITUAL LINE-STEPPER

Joined: 13 Jan 2006
Posts: 5226
WPP: 74
Location: Atlanta, GA, USA
things haven't got much better but at least im finally positive
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Massimo
Post Posted: Thu, 08 Nov 2007, 6:14pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Almost as bad as that idiot heybude
Almost as bad as that idiot heybude

Joined: 06 Aug 2006
Posts: 2739
WPP: 72

Green is good
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bigspenda73
Post Posted: Thu, 08 Nov 2007, 6:20pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Straight Flush
Straight Flush

Joined: 05 Jul 2006
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Location: Pwnsylvania
Renton, are your WTSD and W$WSF numbers in those 10k hands pretty standard for Full Ring?
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mixchange
Post Posted: Thu, 08 Nov 2007, 6:30pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Full House
Full House

Joined: 18 Oct 2006
Posts: 1306
WPP: 104
Location: Santa Cruz, CA
interesting, I am doing something similar in my op, except my goal is supernova/stability but yours is rb+stability. Also, as a result, tons of grinding I could play 1/2 but for all the reasons you mentioned .5/1 is better for me. I can only play like 4-5 200nl tables because I need to focus on each, but I can no brainer 8-9 100nl tables now.

2+2 Jared's data says:

No Limit Hold'em 6 max:
50 - .235, .255
100 - .405
200 - .56, .57, .57, .6
400 - .622, .63, .636
600 - .784
1000 - .84

No Limit Hold'em full:
10 - .0317
50 - .242
100 - .445, .445, .45, .471
200 - .495, .567
400 - .63, .656
600 - .763
1000 - 1.00


Good luck on your op, I will be following.
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Renton
Post Posted: Sat, 10 Nov 2007, 6:03am    Post subject: Reply with quote
HABITUAL LINE-STEPPER
HABITUAL LINE-STEPPER

Joined: 13 Jan 2006
Posts: 5226
WPP: 74
Location: Atlanta, GA, USA
bigspenda73 wrote:
Renton, are your WTSD and W$WSF numbers in those 10k hands pretty standard for Full Ring?


wsf is definitely too low, but im running bad. WTSD is probably 1 or 2 percent too low.
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Renton
Post Posted: Sat, 10 Nov 2007, 6:19pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
HABITUAL LINE-STEPPER
HABITUAL LINE-STEPPER

Joined: 13 Jan 2006
Posts: 5226
WPP: 74
Location: Atlanta, GA, USA
just played a 1k hand session at 1/2 and made 1k dollars. This is by far my best session in weeks.
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mixchange
Post Posted: Sat, 10 Nov 2007, 8:08pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Full House
Full House

Joined: 18 Oct 2006
Posts: 1306
WPP: 104
Location: Santa Cruz, CA
congrats rent, any highlights to post?
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