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The classic bubble situation: what hands do you call with?

  
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What do you call with?
AA and KK only
17%
 17%  [ 13 ]
JJ+
23%
 23%  [ 17 ]
TT+, AK
23%
 23%  [ 17 ]
88+, AQ+
16%
 16%  [ 12 ]
66+, AT+
12%
 12%  [ 9 ]
44+, A7+, KJ+
5%
 5%  [ 4 ]
22+, A2+, KT+, QJ
1%
 1%  [ 1 ]
Total Votes : 73

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taipan168
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 3:55am    Post subject: The classic bubble situation: what hands do you call with? Reply with quote
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Apologies, this will be old hat to some of you but I thought that since there are some newer posters here I'd bring up this old chestnut. Without looking at SNGPT/SNG Wiz, what hands are you calling with here?

Reads: CO has gone berserk on the bubble, having open shoved the last 6 hands where he/she was first in the pot. SB and BB are tight but have shoved in the obvious spots (eg. when folded to them when they are in the SB).

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t400 (4 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

CO (t5500)
Hero (t4000)
SB (t2000)
BB (t2000)

Preflop: Hero is Button with [two cards]
CO raises to t5500, Hero calls t4000 and is all-in...


Last edited by taipan168 on Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 7:42am; edited 1 time in total
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|~|ypermegachi
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 6:23am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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haven't played SnGs in a while, but i think because of the stack sizes of the blinds, we have to call really tight here...i'm thinking (b).
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TLR
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 6:52am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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CO has shoved the last 6 hands, which means that he either has an amazing run of cards or is pretty much shoving ATC.
SB and BB are tight, but they have a pretty low M, M<3.5, so they must call with any decent hand.
I think I am between d and e, I probably call 77+ and AJ+, with 66 and AT are marginal for me
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Da GOAT
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 7:17am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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no im with option b), i think we hurt ourselves by opening up too much with non paired hands.

88+i guess is fine too but unpaired hands arent dominating him enough for me. basically i dont wanna flip vs him, i wanna dominate.

this is a good thread idea. i stay tight and let shorties go crazy, they also know he has shoved ATC 6 times and thye are both blinds
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Anosmic
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 7:26am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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I think I'd try to hold to B.
I don't feel the need take a 60/40 on the bubble.
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TLR
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 7:32am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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BTW any way to convert it to a poll once you posted it ?
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bjsaust
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 7:42am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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I'd say e is good for a call, but he's the bigstack and we're looking very healthy compared to the two shortstacks, so I'm settling on a and being a nit.
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taipan168
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 7:44am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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TLR wrote:
BTW any way to convert it to a poll once you posted it ?

Mods can do anything Twisted Evil
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rubixstreub
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 7:49am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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TLR wrote:

I think I am between d and e, I probably call 77+ and AJ+, with 66 and AT are marginal for me
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bjsaust
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 7:58am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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rubixstreub wrote:
TLR wrote:

I think I am between d and e, I probably call 77+ and AJ+, with 66 and AT are marginal for me


Lets think about it though. BB is 400, so on PokerStars that means you have I think 700 in ante's and blinds each round. That puts 2 shortstacks on an M of 3 and you're on the bubble. At least one if not both of them should probably call this push. If they dont, they need to move soon and you should be ITM shortly.

This isnt just about what range you put him on and what range is good v's that, its about whether you'll risk an almost certain ITM finish on this call.
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TLR
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 8:00am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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bjsaust wrote:
rubixstreub wrote:
TLR wrote:

I think I am between d and e, I probably call 77+ and AJ+, with 66 and AT are marginal for me


Lets think about it though. BB is 400, so on PokerStars that means you have I think 700 in ante's and blinds each round. That puts 2 shortstacks on an M of 3 and you're on the bubble. At least one if not both of them should probably call this push. If they dont, they need to move soon and you should be ITM shortly.

This isnt just about what range you put him on and what range is good v's that, its about whether you'll risk an almost certain ITM finish on this call.
As a rule of thumb I rather get knocked out on 4th shooting for 1st then settling for 3rd
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Sprayed
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 8:15am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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You don't want to bubble out in this spot. I go with b or a.
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TLR
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 8:24am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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taipan168 wrote:
TLR wrote:
BTW any way to convert it to a poll once you posted it ?

Mods can do anything Twisted Evil


Can you time travel ?
Wink
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taipan168
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 8:31am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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TLR wrote:
taipan168 wrote:
TLR wrote:
BTW any way to convert it to a poll once you posted it ?

Mods can do anything Twisted Evil

Can you time travel ?
Wink

Unfortunately that is just beyond the reach of my magical powers...
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TLR
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 8:34am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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taipan168 wrote:
TLR wrote:
taipan168 wrote:
TLR wrote:
BTW any way to convert it to a poll once you posted it ?

Mods can do anything Twisted Evil

Can you time travel ?
Wink

Unfortunately that is just beyond the reach of my magical powers...
too bad...
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bjsaust
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 8:37am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Admins though...
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taipan168
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 8:44am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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TLR wrote:
As a rule of thumb I rather get knocked out on 4th shooting for 1st then settling for 3rd

Sometimes this is good play, sometimes it's bad, but I don't think you can generalise. If the SB had 100 chips left after posting the SB do you still shoot for 1st?
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TLR
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 9:26am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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taipan168 wrote:
TLR wrote:
As a rule of thumb I rather get knocked out on 4th shooting for 1st then settling for 3rd

Sometimes this is good play, sometimes it's bad, but I don't think you can generalise. If the SB had 100 chips left after posting the SB do you still shoot for 1st?
I agree, as with anything else in poker, it depends.
Overall when you start an Sng your goal is to get 1st and not ITM
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Chopper
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 11:06am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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personally, i only dabble with tourneys, but have had some success.

i am a nit, typically, but this guy is pushing everything he can abusing the bubble...no time to be a nit, if i have something decent.

i like TT+, so i chose C, but i would open my range off of AK+, too. not much, just down to AJs+, AQo+.

the real question, to me, is...how was he before the bubble? in the early going, if you got to see him?

if he was loose there, too, i would definitely look him up with TT+, AJs+, AQo+. if not, i would lean towards AK,JJ+.

i would prefer to be suited, too, with the shortys possibly calling.
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Jack Sawyer
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 6:59pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Its (a).
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taipan168
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 7:13pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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I am going to throw the cat amongst the pigeons.

It is incorrect to call with any of the unpaired hands, including AK.

Discuss.
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Jack Sawyer
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 7:22pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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You said it best taipan:

taipan168 wrote:
...in this situation, you don't f**k with the big stack unless you have a real hand...



Very true. So unless you have (a), easy fold.
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mcatdog
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 7:28pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Why do people have a "play for first" point of view? It seems like it comes from the Ripptyde school of playing poker to validate your ego instead of to make money. I however do play for money, and if you believe in ICM then calling with AK is mathematically incorrect against any range of hands he could have.

JJ+
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Sprayed
Post Posted: Wed, 27 Jun 2007, 7:40pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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mcatdog wrote:
Why do people have a "play for first" point of view? It seems like it comes from the Ripptyde school of playing poker to validate your ego instead of to make money. I however do play for money, and if you believe in ICM then calling with AK is mathematically incorrect against any range of hands he could have.

JJ+


Nice post.