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Posted: Tue, 25 Mar 2008, 12:32am Post subject: Sometimes, you feel like a nut. Sometimes, you don't.
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| I saw a statistic one time in a poker book and it facinated me...I predict, eleven, +/-.... Take a deck of cards and count the number of flops you get. There will be 17, with one card extra. Shuffle the deck and do it again but now, make a pile with flops that contain two cards connected. Make a pile with two suited. (Being connected does not matter). Add the number of flops that contain these features. It should be around, 11. I don't count flops with pairs. The other flops sometimes, contain K-8-2 or, cards close by. Math guy's, should have a field day with this one because well, they can do more math. I just like the idea that over half the flops in a poker game favor straight and flush draws. Regularly! This is where pot odds and just the pricinciples of, Risk vs. Reward come in. To each his own. Sometimes, I feel like a nut. Sometimes, I don't... |
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Posted: Tue, 25 Mar 2008, 10:32am Post subject:
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Strike 3
Joined: 05 Jan 2005
Posts: 5869
WPP: 52
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| Suited and connected cards are cool and all, but AKo is still more profitable than JTs. |
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Posted: Tue, 25 Mar 2008, 11:27pm Post subject:
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| Point well taken.... I like to play a lot of hands so, I'd see the flop with either. Sometimes, I raise with either hand. Somtimes, I call.... The wrong three cards on the flop can ruin any good starting hand including, aces. It's hard to hit flops. Randomness, is a great equalizer. Just as an example if, 6-7- 4 rainbow hit the board, I'd have to let JTs and AKo go, in most cases. Position is a big factor here among other things... Here's the point; What misses you often hits, someone else. Do you know why they say; "Any two cards can win".?. Because, it's true. Just, not those two hands mentioned above, with a horrible full table flop. It happens plenty. Being discardable is part of their value. It's just part of doing business. I'll get'em next time... |
Last edited by showboatlou on Tue, 25 Mar 2008, 11:39pm; edited 1 time in total
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Posted: Mon, 31 Mar 2008, 11:42pm Post subject:
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Strike 3
Joined: 05 Jan 2005
Posts: 5869
WPP: 52
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| You don't "see the flop" with AKo, you raise. |
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Posted: Tue, 01 Apr 2008, 5:59am Post subject: Sometimes I don't.
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| Being predictable the very best way to lose money in poker. FNORD, addresses missing with cards like these; this very issue, in his poker theorems. See what he said.... I will initiate a post in the future along the same line of reasoning. It will be called: Betting into the black hole of poker. For every time there is a season. For every thing, there is a reason. I like being unreadable. To each his own. |
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Posted: Wed, 02 Apr 2008, 4:42am Post subject:
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Strike 3
Joined: 05 Jan 2005
Posts: 5869
WPP: 52
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| I can't read your cards if you raise. You can have anything. |
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Posted: Wed, 02 Apr 2008, 6:36am Post subject: Betting into the black hole of poker.................
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| (Original text withdrawn). If you're going to steal don't do it in slow motion. I got a case off ass right now. I'll write about this again someday. You can buy the book or, figure it out yourself. I gave it out free first. Never forget that. |
Last edited by showboatlou on Wed, 02 Apr 2008, 6:30pm; edited 2 times in total
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Posted: Wed, 02 Apr 2008, 5:54pm Post subject:
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Flush
Joined: 20 Aug 2007
Posts: 296
WPP: 107
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| Commas, are a valuable, tool, but not if, overused. |
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