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QJs vs. utg raiser.

  
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will641
Post Posted: Mon, 31 Mar 2008, 7:00pm    Post subject: QJs vs. utg raiser. Reply with quote
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villain here is a 26/20/3/41, so a pretty small sample. no reads other than preliminary stats. calling turn is the only line i can see here against a relatively unknown. and then if river blanks do we call another half pot sized bet? and at what point do we fold?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (6 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

saw flop|saw showdown

Hero ($366)
SB ($158)
BB ($200)
UTG ($302.10)
MP ($185.75)
CO ($230.45)

Preflop: Hero is Button with J, Q.
UTG raises to $8, 2 folds, Hero calls $8, 2 folds.

Flop: ($19) Q, T, T (2 players)
UTG bets $14, Hero calls $14.

Turn: ($47) J (2 players)
UTG bets $22, Hero....
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wouterpoker
Post Posted: Mon, 31 Mar 2008, 7:29pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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i would raise to 58 here and fold to a push. if villain bets again on river, fold. if he checks, check unless another Q or J shows up.
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martindcx1e
Post Posted: Tue, 01 Apr 2008, 2:01am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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wouterpoker wrote:
i would raise to 58 here

why?
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Genitruc
Post Posted: Tue, 01 Apr 2008, 2:15am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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call turn and shove any river
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Genitruc
Post Posted: Tue, 01 Apr 2008, 2:18am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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i know i ll get flamed and u don t need to do this stuff but i rly like bluffing here when it looks like villain is repping AK

btw the "smart thing to do" is... it doesn't really matter :

-lots of aggro villains will 3-barrel this here since you can't have a big hand usually if you haven't raised by the riv and you can have a ton of draws.

-u beat bluffs but with no idea of villain's 2 and 3-barrelling frequencies it's pure guesswork. A 26/20 can def be 2 barelling a FD or pure air since it's so easy to rep a big hand after raising UTG
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Genitruc
Post Posted: Tue, 01 Apr 2008, 2:19am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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actually

minraise the turn

my god it looks soo fking strong he'll prob just flat AK and you get to decide whether or not to shove riv after he checks
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Irisheyes
Post Posted: Tue, 01 Apr 2008, 6:40am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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I think call and fold blank rivers. Most guys will check the river with the part of their range that we beat here. Our hand isn't that great, we only really beat AQ/KQ.
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meeloche
Post Posted: Tue, 01 Apr 2008, 8:49pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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I'm calling and seeing what kind of river hits. We still beat a good chunk of his range and when we river a jack we stack him {acronym Renton hates}. I think raising the turn turns our hand into a bluff and I don't really want to do that.
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IowaSkinsFan
Post Posted: Tue, 01 Apr 2008, 9:46pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Almost as bad as that idiot redgrape
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Call turn call river
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will641
Post Posted: Tue, 01 Apr 2008, 9:54pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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okay well, just wanted to make sure this wasnt a bad call, and i ginned the shit out of him on the river with a J. he had JT
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martindcx1e
Post Posted: Tue, 01 Apr 2008, 10:01pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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will641 wrote:
okay well, just wanted to make sure this wasnt a bad call, and i ginned the shit out of him on the river with a J. he had JT

LOL NH
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griffey24
Post Posted: Tue, 01 Apr 2008, 11:13pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Why would people wanna raise this turn? We're ahead of KQ/AQ and villain won't put you on AK ever because of preflop. So I don't think they are folding any overpair at all on this board.

Flat the turn, and probably flat the river or maaaybe sometimes fold river but I prob rarely do.
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Genitruc
Post Posted: Wed, 02 Apr 2008, 2:21am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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i know it sounds sick but we can rep plenty of boats
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Genitruc
Post Posted: Wed, 02 Apr 2008, 3:00am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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as in, at least 3
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wufwugy
Post Posted: Wed, 02 Apr 2008, 3:06am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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but he's not folding AK. getting him off KK AA is real hard too.

he's betting small, so take advantage of it
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griffey24
Post Posted: Wed, 02 Apr 2008, 9:10am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Genitruc wrote:
i know it sounds sick but we can rep plenty of boats


You can rep a lot of boats, yesss....

butttt the board is sooo huge draw heavy that any solid hand will have a hard time folding. All over pairs have better two pairs than QJ (which could be raising for value mayyybe, though doubtful).

KQ could be raising this turn with tp + OESD, and all overpairs straights are ahead of this hand.

There are two flush draws out that could be raising this turn.

There are just too many draws on this board to try getting any solid hand to fold.

Furthermore, preflop discounts a lot of boats (QQ/JJ probably not possible now) so you are repping exactly QT (which may be unlikely to be played against UTG raiser) and JT (which would also probably raise this drawy flop). So there is exactly 1 boat you are repping (QT) that wouldn't have 3-bet pre and that wouldn't raise this flop and about a million draws. So which hands will villain put us on!?
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Deanglow
Post Posted: Wed, 02 Apr 2008, 10:59am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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IowaSkinsFan wrote:
Call turn call river
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will641
Post Posted: Wed, 02 Apr 2008, 11:28am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Genitruc wrote:
as in, at least 3


really? i count exactly 2. QT and JT. im 3 betting TT-QQ {acronym Renton hates}.
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Genitruc
Post Posted: Wed, 02 Apr 2008, 11:39am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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quadzillas are possible and not everybody 3-bets QQ all the time vs an utg raiser

i'm pretty much joking about raising btw, the sane thing is call turn and fold riv to a big bet

but I'm pretty sure if a thinking player bet turn small with AK and got raised lots of us would be saying "hmm tough spot" if it were a posted hand.
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will641
Post Posted: Wed, 02 Apr 2008, 11:54am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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lol okay, i wasnt sure if you were joking or not. it didnt seem like something you would say, cause raising is really bad imo.
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