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Posted: Fri, 27 Jun 2008, 3:19am Post subject: AA 3 hands in a row |
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Flush
Joined: 31 Mar 2005
Posts: 453
WPP: 120
Location: Love me for a season
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oddz?
Game #5947424223: Hold'em NL ($0.50/$1) - 2008/06/27 - 11:02:39 (UK)
Table "Atgura" Seat 3 is the button.
Seat 1: Ben100410 ($172.40 in chips)
Seat 2: Howard12 ($113.49 in chips)
Seat 3: Tellerman ($132.40 in chips)
Seat 4: Asshole69 ($69.12 in chips)
Seat 5: Btr_77 ($108.20 in chips)
Seat 6: Camepoker ($129.05 in chips)
Asshole69: posts small blind $0.50
Btr_77: posts big blind $1
----- HOLE CARDS -----
dealt to Ben100410 [As Ad]
Camepoker: raises to $3
Ben100410: raises to $11
Howard12: folds
Tellerman: folds
Asshole69: calls $10.50
Btr_77: folds
Camepoker: calls $8
----- FLOP ----- [2d 9d 6c]
Asshole69: checks
Camepoker: checks
Ben100410: bets $22
Asshole69: raises to $58.12 and is all-in
Camepoker: folds
Ben100410: calls $36.12
----- TURN ----- [2d 9d 6c][6s]
----- RIVER ----- [2d 9d 6c 6s][Js]
----- SHOW DOWN -----
Asshole69: shows [8c 9s] (Two Pairs, Nines and Sixes, Jack high)
Ben100410: shows [As Ad] (Two Pairs, Aces and Sixes, Jack high)
Ben100410 collected $147.24 from Main pot
----- SUMMARY -----
Total pot $150.24 Main pot $147.24 Rake $3
Board [2d 9d 6c 6s Js]
Seat 1: Ben100410 showed [As Ad] and won ($147.24) with Two Pairs, Aces and Sixes, Jack high
Seat 2: Howard12 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: Tellerman (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: Asshole69 (small blind) showed [8c 9s] and lost with Two Pairs, Nines and Sixes, Jack high
Seat 5: Btr_77 (big blind) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: Camepoker folded on the Flop
Game #5947424243: Hold'em NL ($0.50/$1) - 2008/06/27 - 11:03:26 (UK)
Table "Atgura" Seat 4 is the button.
Seat 1: Ben100410 ($250.52 in chips)
Seat 2: Howard12 ($113.49 in chips)
Seat 3: Tellerman ($132.40 in chips)
Seat 4: Asshole69 sits out
Seat 5: Btr_77 ($107.20 in chips)
Seat 6: Camepoker ($118.05 in chips)
Btr_77: posts small blind $0.50
Camepoker: posts big blind $1
----- HOLE CARDS -----
dealt to Ben100410 [Ah Ac]
Ben100410: raises to $4
Howard12: calls $4
Tellerman: folds
Btr_77: folds
Camepoker: calls $3
----- FLOP ----- [Tc Td Jh]
Camepoker: checks
Ben100410: bets $9
Howard12: folds
Howard12 sits out
Camepoker: calls $9
----- TURN ----- [Tc Td Jh][7d]
Camepoker: checks
Ben100410: bets $16
Camepoker: calls $16
----- RIVER ----- [Tc Td Jh 7d][Ts]
Camepoker: checks
Ben100410: bets $135
Camepoker: folds
Returned uncalled bets $135 to Ben100410
Ben100410: doesn't show hand
Ben100410 collected $59.50 from Main pot
----- SUMMARY -----
Total pot $62.50 Main pot $59.50 Rake $3
Board [Tc Td Jh 7d Ts]
Seat 1: Ben100410 collected $59.50
Seat 2: Howard12 folded on the Flop
Seat 3: Tellerman folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: Btr_77 (small blind) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: Camepoker (big blind) folded on the River
Game #5947424263: Hold'em NL ($0.50/$1) - 2008/06/27 - 11:04:44 (UK)
Table "Atgura" Seat 5 is the button.
Seat 1: Ben100410 ($281.02 in chips)
Seat 2: Howard12 sits out
Seat 3: Tellerman ($132.40 in chips)
Seat 5: Btr_77 ($106.70 in chips)
Seat 6: Camepoker ($89.05 in chips)
Camepoker: posts small blind $0.50
Ben100410: posts big blind $1
----- HOLE CARDS -----
dealt to Ben100410 [Ah Ad]
Tellerman: folds
Btr_77: folds
Camepoker: raises to $3
Ben100410: raises to $11
Camepoker: calls $8
----- FLOP ----- [9d 5h Qs]
Camepoker: checks
Ben100410: bets $20
Camepoker: calls $20
----- TURN ----- [9d 5h Qs][Js]
Camepoker: checks
Petro0809 joins the table at seat #4
Ben100410: bets $250.02 and is all-in
Camepoker: is all-in $58.05
Returned uncalled bets $191.97 to Ben100410
----- RIVER ----- [9d 5h Qs Js][2d]
----- SHOW DOWN -----
Ben100410: shows [Ah Ad] (A Pair of Aces, Queen high)
Camepoker: shows [7c 9s] (A Pair of Nines, Queen high)
Ben100410 collected $176.10 from Main pot
----- SUMMARY -----
Total pot $178.10 Main pot $176.10 Rake $2
Board [9d 5h Qs Js 2d]
Seat 1: Ben100410 (big blind) showed [Ah Ad] and won ($176.10) with A Pair of Aces, Queen high
Seat 3: Tellerman folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: Btr_77 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: Camepoker (small blind) showed [7c 9s] and lost with A Pair of Nines, Queen high |
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Posted: Fri, 27 Jun 2008, 5:36am Post subject: |
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Full House
Joined: 06 Aug 2005
Posts: 621
WPP: 162
Location: Falmouth, ME
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50/50. It either happened or it didn't!  Jeez, nice table selection!
.45% each hand so
.45 ^ 3 = .091125 --> ~1:1100?? That doesn't seem right... Wait, ok, so that would be for getting ANY PP 3 times in a row...
Hmm... I'm not sure how to calculate this...
Let me try this:
.45% you get a specific PP. 1/13 of those times you get AA
So, this could be very sketchy...
.45 (First AA)
* (.45 / 13) (Second AA)
* (.45 / 13) (Third AA)
____________________
.45 * .0346 * .0346 = .000538722 --> ~ 1:185,624 That's probably closer? Anybody have a better (actual) formula for this? |
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Posted: Mon, 30 Jun 2008, 4:57pm Post subject: |
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Flush
Joined: 04 Jan 2007
Posts: 403
WPP: 180
Location: UK
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The odds of getting dealt AA are 220 : 1
The odds of getting AA twice in a row are 220 x 220 = 48,400 : 1
The odds of getting AA three times in a row are 220 x 220 x 220 = 10,648,000 : 1
I think this is how you would do it anyway. |
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Posted: Wed, 02 Jul 2008, 2:07am Post subject: |
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Flush
Joined: 31 Mar 2005
Posts: 453
WPP: 120
Location: Love me for a season
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Posted: Thu, 03 Jul 2008, 2:46pm Post subject: |
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Flush
Joined: 04 Jan 2007
Posts: 403
WPP: 180
Location: UK
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| I'd definitely go and buy a Lotto ticket if this happens again. |
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Posted: Thu, 03 Jul 2008, 2:56pm Post subject: |
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Full House
Joined: 24 Jul 2007
Posts: 1288
WPP: 87
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| Rage2100 wrote: | | I'd definitely go and buy a Lotto ticket if this happens again. |
No way man...cause like...you've used up all your 'luck reserves' by that point. Everyone knows that after a heater comes a cooler so I'd avoid all games of chance for a month until you build yourself back up some luck reserves... |
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