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When variance turns against you

  
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CorbinDallas
Post Posted: Tue, 17 Jun 2008, 2:15pm    Post subject: When variance turns against you Reply with quote
Flush
Flush

Joined: 13 Sep 2007
Posts: 398
WPP: 94

so i made an excel file to check and see if i'm getting the expected number prem starting hands.

thanks char for the numbers.

turns out over 6k tourney hands in june i'm being dealt 25% less prem hands than is to be expected.

my average finishes are.... Early 5%.... early mid 6%... middle 47% late middle 33%.... late 9%.

this confirms that i'm not tilting and staying patient. do i need to open up my raising ranges and be more aggressive? i've always thought the right thing to do is just play your game and make the correct decisions... not letting fear of the bad beat or the BB waking up with AK vs your AJ etc.

thoughts?
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johnny_fish
Post Posted: Wed, 18 Jun 2008, 2:19am    Post subject: Reply with quote
4-of-a-Kind
4-of-a-Kind

Joined: 01 Sep 2005
Posts: 2185
WPP: 80
Location: donkaments weeeeeeeeeeee
Stop worrying about stuff you can't control. Play more, learn more, think more.

gl
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badgers
Post Posted: Wed, 18 Jun 2008, 7:27am    Post subject: Reply with quote
4-of-a-Kind
4-of-a-Kind

Joined: 06 Feb 2007
Posts: 2442
WPP: 66
Location: Spewing
play more hands.
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herschelw
Post Posted: Fri, 20 Jun 2008, 8:37pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Two Pair
Two Pair

Joined: 29 Dec 2005
Posts: 26
WPP: 67

In early levels you probably dont need to change much but in later levels you should consider early position stealing more and also make sure that you are actively restealing in spots where you can find a late position raiser who is overly active.
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