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Am I getting pushed off a hand I was winning?

  
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Monty3038
Post Posted: Mon, 12 May 2008, 10:54am    Post subject: Am I getting pushed off a hand I was winning? Reply with quote
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Ok, reads on the guy are sketchy at best, working a lot on my play and aggression but have slid a little on my handreading skills, regardless this is fairly early in a SNG yet, not a lot for me to go on so far...

-----Hand 3-----
Heros M = 17.33
Full Tilt Poker Game #6353647345: $2 + $0.25 Sit & Go (48335708), Table 1 - 25/50 - No Limit Holdem - 22:29:13 ET - 2008/05/09
Condensed history provided by the Tournament Trimmer (v1.1.4w) from http://www.FlopTurnRiver.com
Seat 1: Th3_Pornostar (1,395)
Seat 2: willneverdie (1,530)
Seat 3: xsubman (1,925)
Seat 4: DirtyCurty12 (1,790)
Seat 5: billpen1 (990)
Seat 6: Chriswit (1,185)
Seat 7: ALANBAY70 (1,100)
Seat 8: Jersey Nut (2,285)
Seat 9: Hero (1,300)
billpen1 posts the small blind of 25
Chriswit posts the big blind of 50
The button is in seat #4
Preflop: Hero dealt J J
ALANBAY70 calls 50
Jersey Nut calls 50
Hero raises to 275
Th3_Pornostar folds
willneverdie folds
xsubman folds
DirtyCurty12 folds
billpen1 folds
Chriswit folds
ALANBAY70 calls 225
Jersey Nut folds
Flop: A Q 5
ALANBAY70 checks
Hero bets 350
ALANBAY70 raises to 700

Hero??

Many people say no one bluffs at the micro levels, or not enough to count on it, but the check raise?
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drmcboy
Post Posted: Mon, 12 May 2008, 11:40am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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suits are generally important, although here they would only matter if you had flopped a draw.

This is an easy fold. If you want to show this hand down, check the flop instead, although I prefer bet/fold.
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Monty3038
Post Posted: Mon, 12 May 2008, 12:29pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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I think my real question is, how often are people running into check raises at these $2/$5 SNGs... seems like a lot for me lately, the check indicates weakness, I bet into them and they shove over... maybe I'm reading too much into the check.
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GatorJH
Post Posted: Mon, 12 May 2008, 12:48pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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I would imagine that VERY FEW people will c/r bluff at the $2/5 SNG level, especially with this board. Good fold.
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Monty3038
Post Posted: Mon, 12 May 2008, 1:24pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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GatorJH wrote:
I would imagine that VERY FEW people will c/r bluff at the $2/5 SNG level, especially with this board. Good fold.


Thanks Gator, was just looking for a little confirmation that his play was indicating a bunch of strength.
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taipan168
Post Posted: Mon, 12 May 2008, 5:19pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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I would make it 250 rather than 275 to go preflop to keep the pot a bit smaller.

As played, I take the free card and check behind every time on that board. I do not see the point of betting on that sort of flop (although as drmcboy said, suits are important).
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fdnypoker
Post Posted: Mon, 12 May 2008, 6:27pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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I agree with the group...I would raise a little less and check the flop. With this board this seems like an easy fold.

If this is a c/r bluff than I applaud them. Smile
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bjsaust
Post Posted: Mon, 12 May 2008, 6:29pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Check behind flop. As played easy fold.

Check out www.weaktight.com to convert HHs from FullTilt.
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drmcboy
Post Posted: Tue, 13 May 2008, 9:36am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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taipan168 wrote:
. I do not see the point of betting on that sort of flop


someone explain because I think checking this flop is pretty terrible.
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TheScientist23
Post Posted: Tue, 13 May 2008, 2:05pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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In these low stakes, lots of idiots check-raise with monster hands and think they are genius's for their move, but really, it's a sure way to show they have a monster hand. At these stakes people rarely check-raise as a bluff.
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Ryski
Post Posted: Tue, 13 May 2008, 2:35pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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drmcboy wrote:
taipan168 wrote:
. I do not see the point of betting on that sort of flop


someone explain because I think checking this flop is pretty terrible.


I think checking the flop is pretty terrible as well. The guy limped and Hero raised. The flop comes with an A and a Q and he checks to the Hero who should be making a continuation bet repping the A. Hero has two options on the flop here:

1. You check and basically tell the other guy you have nothing. If you had something, you'd be betting for value and to protect against any draw that could hurt you. If you do end up checking, you definitely are folding to a bet on the turn which he surely is going to make.

2. You could bet and define your hand now. Your hand might be best and take the pot down. If he raises ( which he did ), you have your answer and can throw it away.

#2 is preferred to #1 because at least you give yourself a chance to win the pot. Checking behind or calling down for cheap is #3 but I didn't include it because I think it is horrible.
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taipan168
Post Posted: Tue, 13 May 2008, 5:10pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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drmcboy wrote:
taipan168 wrote:
. I do not see the point of betting on that sort of flop


someone explain because I think checking this flop is pretty terrible.

I suppose betting on this flop is better than betting an A72 flop because on this flop you might fold out some hands that beat you (Qx, KK) and checking may induce a turn bluff causing you to fold out the best hand. To me, whether to bet or check behind is read dependent - if opp is a calling station donkey then I would almost certainly check behind. Actually, opp must be a donkey because a good player would never limp then call another 5x BB unless they're trapping with a monster hand.

My logic for checking behind was that it allows you to see what opp does on the turn; most opps won't bet this kind of board without some piece of it.

Can you set out your logic for why you think checking behind is terrible?
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Ryski
Post Posted: Tue, 13 May 2008, 6:24pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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I posted my thoughts on why checking is terrible but I'd like to see what drmcboy's reasoning is as well.

Also...if you check behind with a board like that you either are scared of that flop or hold an extreme monster. Either way I will be betting into you on the turn with literally nothing to take that pot from you or find out where I stand. That looks like a mandatory cbet flop especially from someone with position.
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taipan168
Post Posted: Tue, 13 May 2008, 7:56pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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This is an interesting hand. How would you play it if you had KK on this board? What about TT?
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Ryski
Post Posted: Tue, 13 May 2008, 8:54pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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taipan168 wrote:
This is an interesting hand. How would you play it if you had KK on this board? What about TT?


I play it the same way if I don't have any reads. A cbet will probably get him off a Qx hand but he's not going anywhere with an Ace. In this case he check-raised the min, wants a call, and 9/10 he's going to have an Ace and it's an easy fold no matter if you have KK, JJ, or TT you are still beat. He could have been a donk and called with A5 and has two pair right now as well. Your main concern is you just got check raised with an Ace showing and due to stack sizes he is expecting a call when he makes that raise. Only thing that sucks is you are left with a very very small stack now when you fold but when you are beat you are beat and there is simply no reason to just throw chips away.

Btw if the villian wanted to bluff at this he would have been the one to put in the money first on the flop rather than check-raise and give you the odds to call.
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taipan168
Post Posted: Tue, 13 May 2008, 9:25pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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There is no doubt in my mind that we have to fold after getting check-raised whether we have KK, JJ or TT.

The question was more about whether you are leading the flop with KK or TT if you are also leading with JJ.
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Ryski
Post Posted: Tue, 13 May 2008, 9:41pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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taipan168 wrote:
There is no doubt in my mind that we have to fold after getting check-raised whether we have KK, JJ or TT.

The question was more about whether you are leading the flop with KK or TT if you are also leading with JJ.


Yes I am leading the flop with any of those hands especially after being checked to with similar stack sizes. I will also lead this flop with absolute trash because my hand is irrelevant. I am asking the question to my opponent "Do you have an Ace or not" while representing one at the same time.
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taipan168
Post Posted: Tue, 13 May 2008, 9:53pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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taipan168 wrote:
The question was more about whether you are leading the flop with KK or TT if you are also leading with JJ.


Ryski wrote:
Yes I am leading the flop with any of those hands especially after being checked to with similar stack sizes. I will also lead this flop with absolute trash because my hand is irrelevant. I am asking the question to my opponent "Do you have an Ace or not" while representing one at the same time.

I think JJ and TT are different cases, but if you have KK on this flop you absolutely have to check behind IMO. No worse hand is going to call you and probably no better hand will fold. By betting KK in this spot, you essentially turn it into 32 offsuit.


Last edited by taipan168 on Wed, 14 May 2008, 12:33am; edited 1 time in total
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Ryski
Post Posted: Tue, 13 May 2008, 10:06pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Quote:
I think JJ and TT are different cases, but if you have KK on this flop you absolutely have to check behind IMO. No worse hand is going to call you and probably no better hand will fold. By betting KK in this spot, you essentially turn it into 32 offsuit.


True and good observation if you are trying to extract more money from the villain but you are assuming you have him beat. If you check behind then what are you doing when he bets the turn and then the river? Calling your stack off and guessing if he has an Ace? I prefer betting the flop and taking the pot down or getting my answer. Im still betting the flop with KK here and I'd probably bet the flop with 32 offsuit as well lol.
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taipan168
Post Posted: Wed, 14 May 2008, 12:53am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Ryski wrote:
True and good observation if you are trying to extract more money from the villain but you are assuming you have him beat. If you check behind then what are you doing when he bets the turn and then the river? Calling your stack off and guessing if he has an Ace? I prefer betting the flop and taking the pot down or getting my answer. Im still betting the flop with KK here and I'd probably bet the flop with 32 offsuit as well lol.

I used to bet the flop with KK, but it was a real lightbulb moment to me to realise that doing so wasn't necessarily the best option. Take a look at these threads:

http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/forum/poker-21766.htm
http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/forum/24-kk-ahigh-flop-t65536.html
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bjsaust
Post Posted: Wed, 14 May 2008, 2:44am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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This min c/r is almost always someones idea of a tarp in my experience.

I check behind because of the KK concepts, but I see the point about actually folding better hands sometimes here whereas with KK you never do so the situation is different.
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fjuanl
Post Posted: Wed, 14 May 2008, 2:52am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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I still dont understand the 'checking this flop is horrible' argument.

I can definetly see the argument for cbetting if we have KK and the board has flushdraw possibilities. Or if we have JJ and know that villian can fold Qx
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drmcboy
Post Posted: Wed, 14 May 2008, 8:19am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Bet ~HPS, we only need him to fold a little more than 1/3 to make a profit. It's that simple.

I hate ideas like "Well he wont bet the turn without a Q". You don't know any such thing. Plus if all he needs is a piece, what if that piece is a 5 or the turn 9? What we do know is that we raised pre, we're supposed to have an A, one is right there, and there is a profitable bet to me made. When one argument has clear and easy math and one has feelings and hopes, lean to the math.

If you had KK here, you would at least have some showdown value vs Qx, but since any bet we make in this hand is a bluff, we may as well do it on the flop where it will get the most credit.

In a HU pot, I came up with 4 reasons not to bet an A high flop when you raised pre and are checked too:

1) Your hand is too big.

2) Opp check raises a lot.

3) You will be committed to the pot (and you don't want to be).

4) We have a reasonable draw vs the A but not one we can all a raise with.

None of those are true here. In addition, as you say he may fold a Q. If we are beat we only have two outs so we don't lose much getting check raised.
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GatorJH
Post Posted: Wed, 14 May 2008, 8:23am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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drmcboy wrote:
Bet ~HPS, we only need him to fold a little more than 1/3 to make a profit. It's that simple.

I hate ideas like "Well he wont bet the turn without a Q". You don't know any such thing. Plus if all he needs is a piece, what if that piece is a 5 or the turn 9? What we do know is that we raised pre, we're supposed to have an A, one is right there, and there is a profitable bet to me made. When one argument has clear and easy math and one has feelings and hopes, lean to the math.

If you had KK here, you would at least have some showdown value vs Qx, but since any bet we make in this hand is a bluff, we may as well do it on the flop where it will get the most credit.

In a HU pot, I came up with 4 reasons not to bet an A high flop when you raised pre and are checked too:

1) Your hand is too big.

2) Opp check raises a lot.