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Posted: Tue, 15 Apr 2008, 10:14am Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Wishing you good luck Taxi on moving up to the $20 level. Hopefully you got bets in for Monday's games as I went 2-1 for a profit of $145.20.
Here are my bets for Tuesday:
$90 on Washington +153 (Perez/Pelfrey must start)
$100 on Baltimore +123 (Marcum/Trachsel must start)
$130 on Tampa Bay +109 (Pettitte/Jackson must start)
No clear favorite has emerged in the Boston game so I have not bet on that game yet. Will bet it later in the day. |
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Posted: Tue, 15 Apr 2008, 11:34am Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 13 Feb 2007
Posts: 225
WPP: 82
Location: Lincoln, UK
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Yeah I haven't missed a bet for ages now, but my mistakes earlier cost me a bit.
Bet $24 on all 3 games for monday anyway 
Got my bets in for today already, except for Boston game cus I wasn't sure, looks like Boston are gonna be favourites on Matchbook but am waiting for some better odds too since its starts later anyway.
Cheers HockeyBoy!! |
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Posted: Tue, 15 Apr 2008, 3:12pm Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Got my bet in on the Boston game tonight:
$100 on Cleveland +101 (Wakefield/Byrd must start). Bet made at Matchbook. |
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Posted: Tue, 15 Apr 2008, 3:30pm Post subject:
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Almost as bad as that idiot heybude
Joined: 06 Aug 2006
Posts: 2739
WPP: 72
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| What do you think your long term daily winrate is doing this hockeyboy? |
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Posted: Wed, 16 Apr 2008, 1:09pm Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Massimo, I expect a return of around 50% of my total bankroll. Thus I expect to win about $5,000 over the course of the season. If I were divide that by the number of games in a season (162) that works out to an average daily winrate of about $31. Had a very bad night last night as I went 0-4 and lost $420 but that is going to happen from time to time when you are betting against favorites.
Here are my bets for Wednesday:
$100 on Washington +178 (Chico/Maine must start)
$110 on Texas +126 (Gabbard/Litsch must start)
$130 on Boston +151 (Buchholz/Wang must start)
$20 on LA Dodgers -1.5 +120 (Maholm/Penny must start)
Note that Boston are playing the NY Yankees. When deciding what to bet on a game that involves two teams in our betting system, go with whatever team is at the highest $ figure in their betting cycle. At the moment Boston is at the $110 level while the NY Yankees are at the $140 level. Thus we make a bet at the $140 level. Because the odds are above +150 we drop the bet by $10 which gives us a bet amount of $130 on that game. |
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Posted: Wed, 16 Apr 2008, 1:27pm Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 13 Feb 2007
Posts: 225
WPP: 82
Location: Lincoln, UK
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| Mets -200 / -1.5 +110 difference of exactly 210 on Carib - worth going for? |
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Posted: Wed, 16 Apr 2008, 2:15pm Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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| Taxi wrote: | | Mets -200 / -1.5 +110 difference of exactly 210 on Carib - worth going for? | Normally I would say yes but because we are making a straight bet on their opponent I would not bet it. If you found those odds on another game then I would say yes. |
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Posted: Wed, 16 Apr 2008, 2:50pm Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 13 Feb 2007
Posts: 225
WPP: 82
Location: Lincoln, UK
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| HockeyBoy wrote: | | Taxi wrote: | | Mets -200 / -1.5 +110 difference of exactly 210 on Carib - worth going for? | Normally I would say yes but because we are making a straight bet on their opponent I would not bet it. If you found those odds on another game then I would say yes. |
Yeah I realised that as soon as I walked away from the computer  |
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Posted: Thu, 17 Apr 2008, 12:52pm Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Lost $67.40 on my Wednesday bets.
Here are my bets for Thursday:
$110 on Washington +153 (Lannan/Figueroa must start)
$150 on NY Yankees +122 (Beckett/Mussina must start)
$90 on Texas +176 (Padilla/Halladay must start) |
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Posted: Thu, 17 Apr 2008, 12:56pm Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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| MONEY UPDATE / (SINCE START OF SEASON): + $154.78 through Wednesday night bets. |
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Posted: Fri, 18 Apr 2008, 11:48am Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Lost $118.40 on my Thursday bets.
Here are my bets for Friday:
$132.60 on Philadelphia -102 (Santana/Hamels must start)
$104 on Detroit -104 (Rogers/Purcey must start)
$160 on Baltimore +127 (Hughes/Cabrera must start)
$110 on Texas +209 (Mendoza/Matsuzaka must start) |
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Posted: Fri, 18 Apr 2008, 3:34pm Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 13 Feb 2007
Posts: 225
WPP: 82
Location: Lincoln, UK
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Mets +102
Philadelphia -104
you've bet on Philadelphia, were the odds different then? Also, wots with the weird bet size? |
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Posted: Fri, 18 Apr 2008, 8:28pm Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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| Taxi wrote: | Mets +102
Philadelphia -104
you've bet on Philadelphia, were the odds different then? Also, wots with the weird bet size? |
I had to make a bet early as I knew I wouldnt have time to make a bet shortly before game time. At that time Philly was the underdog at -102 on Pinnacle. The weird bet size is because my bet level on a game involving the NY Mets was at $130 and I made a bet to win that amount based on Philly being -102. |
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Posted: Fri, 18 Apr 2008, 9:14pm Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Won $60.60 on my Friday bets.
Got my bets in early for Saturday's games:
$140 on Philadelphia +112 (Perez/Moyer must start)
$100 on Detroit +100 (Bonderman/McGowan must start)
$140 on Baltimore +135 (Kennedy/Burres must start)
$130 on Texas +165 (Jennings/Lester must start)
Note that with the Yankees losing on Friday my base level with them drops 2 levels (from $160 to $140). |
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Posted: Sat, 19 Apr 2008, 2:18pm Post subject:
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High Card
Joined: 19 Apr 2008
Posts: 3
WPP: 16
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| won $314 on yesterday's baltimore game |
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Posted: Sun, 20 Apr 2008, 10:57am Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Lost $181.00 on my Saturday bets.
Here are my bets for Sunday:
$150 on Philadelphia +100 (Pelfrey/Eaton must start)
$110 on Detroit +119 (Robertson/Burnett must start)
$120 on Baltimore +161 (Pettitte/Trachsel must start)
$150 on Texas +147 (Millwood/Wakefield must start)
Note that with the Yankees losing on Saturday my base level with them drops once again though this time it only drops one level (down to $130; because their opponent is in the +150 to +199 range, the bet drops by another $10). When you have a win in a sequence the next bet against/on that team drops by two levels. Any consecutive wins in that sequence then drop the next bet down by only one level. Keep in mind that your bet level never should drop below your starting bet size (in my case it is $100; exception is when odds on team you are betting on is +150 or above). |
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Posted: Mon, 21 Apr 2008, 9:46am Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Lost $230.00 on my Sunday bets.
Here are my bets for Monday:
$130 on NY Mets +124 (Maine/Zambrano must start)
$120 on Detroit +123 (Gallaraga/Marcum must start)
$160 on Texas +148 (Gabbard/Buchholz must start) |
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Posted: Mon, 21 Apr 2008, 9:50am Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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| MONEY UPDATE / (SINCE START OF SEASON): - $314.02 through Sunday bets. |
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Posted: Tue, 22 Apr 2008, 9:22am Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Lost $142.40 on my Monday bets.
Here are my bets for Tuesday:
$140 on NY Mets +108 (Figueroa/Lilly must start)
$100 on Toronto +131 (Litsch/Shields must start)
$140 on Chicago WS +136 (Wang/Contreras must start)
$160 on LA Angels +165 (Weaver/Beckett must start) |
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Posted: Tue, 22 Apr 2008, 11:53am Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Two additional bets for Tuesday:
$20 on Atlanta -1.5 +101 (Lannan/Smoltz must start)
$21.60 on Arizona -1.5 -108 (Zito/Webb must start) |
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Posted: Wed, 23 Apr 2008, 12:41pm Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Lost $421.60 on my Tuesday bets. Note that the bet on Boston was cancelled as one of the starters did not start the game.
Here are my bets for Wednesday:
$140 on Washington +179 (Santana/Redding must start)
$110 on Tampa Bay +127 (Halladay/Hamel must start)
$150 on NY Yankees +132 (Mussina/Vazquez must start)
$160 on LA Angels +162 (Garland/Matsuzaka must start) |
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Posted: Thu, 24 Apr 2008, 10:15am Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Won $197.70 on my Wednesday bets. Note that once again the bet on Boston was cancelled as one of the starters did not start the game.
Here are my bets for Thursday:
$160 on Washington +120 (Hill/Perez must start)
$130 on Chicago WS +107 (Hughes/Floyd must start)
$170 on LA Angels +100 (Saunders/Masterson must start)
I have not made a bet on the Toronto game yet as a clear favorite has not emerged. Will post the bet here once I have made it. |
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Posted: Fri, 25 Apr 2008, 6:50am Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Won $501.10 on my Thursday bets. I never did get a bet in on the Toronto game but was fortunate to go 3-0 on the other games.
Here are my bets for Friday:
$140 on Atlanta +123 (Jurrgens/Pelfrey must start)
$120 on Cleveland +111 (Pettitte/Byrd must start)
$150 on Tampa Bay +101 (Wakefield/Garza must start)
$100 on Kansas City +102 (Burnett/Greinke must start) |
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Posted: Fri, 25 Apr 2008, 10:39am Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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| MONEY UPDATE / (SINCE START OF SEASON): - $179.22 through Thursday bets. |
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Posted: Fri, 25 Apr 2008, 10:22pm Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Won $558.90 on my Friday bets as I went 4-0.
Here are my bets for Saturday:
$130 on Atlanta +107 (Hudson/Maine must start)
$140 on Tampa Bay +117 (Buchholz/Jackson must start)
$100 on Kansas City +112 (Marcum/Hochevar must start)
No clear favorite on the NY Yankees game as of yet so will delay my bet until closer to game time. |
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Posted: Sat, 26 Apr 2008, 10:28am Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Here is my final bet for Saturday:
$110 on Cleveland +100 (Kennedy/Sowers must start) |
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$100,000 Deep Stack Challenge Sundays at 888 PacificPoker!
