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Posted: Mon, 31 Mar 2008, 8:09pm Post subject: Odd AQ hand
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Full House
Joined: 03 Jul 2005
Posts: 1483
WPP: 79
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Preflop Capper is running 26/9/1.35 - loose but not too bad. I have a little history with him.
The BB cold caller is running 41/12/0.24 82% ShowDown /39% W$@SD over about 70 hands since I've sat down. He is ridiculously loose and likely has cold-called my 3bet with his top 60% of hands, weighted more towards suited hands. I've seen him bluff before (on the turn) when no one else showed interest in a pot. Most of the time he shows down any pair, and I've seen him call down with ace and even king high once.
CryptoLogic 2.00/4.00 Hold'em (10 handed) link
Preflop: Hero is MP3 with Q , A .
1 folds, UTG+1 raises, 2 folds, Hero 3-bets, 3 folds, BB calls, UTG+1 caps, Hero calls, BB calls.
Flop: (12.50 SB) 7, J, 2 (3 players)
BB checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero checks.
Turn: (6.25 BB) 9 (3 players)
BB checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero checks.
UTG+1 certainly has AK here, probably not with the K of spades. The donk could have any 2 cards and isn't folding. My instinct was to take a freebie.
River: (6.25 BB) 5 (3 players)
BB bets, UTG+1 folds, Hero...?
It's very possible that the donk just hit a pair with that 5. His post-flop aggression factor is so, so low, but after both opponents checked through twice, I could see him bluffing with his hopeless hands. 7:1 is pretty good odds... right? |
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Posted: Mon, 31 Mar 2008, 10:45pm Post subject:
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4-of-a-Kind
Joined: 05 Jan 2005
Posts: 2312
WPP: 57
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| Why not fire at the pot at the turn? They both don't seem like they have anything. |
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Posted: Tue, 01 Apr 2008, 10:27am Post subject:
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Full House
Joined: 26 Jul 2007
Posts: 711
WPP: 135
Location: UK
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| Fold preflop. An UTG+1 raise is pretty strong, no? What does he open-raise here that you're ahead of with AQ? |
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Posted: Tue, 01 Apr 2008, 1:06pm Post subject:
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Full House
Joined: 03 Jul 2005
Posts: 1483
WPP: 79
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My reasoning for checking the turn is that a free card is far more likely to help me than either of them. A turn bet would be a poor semi-bluff, since it's unlikely that both or even one would fold.
From UTG+1's point of view (I will discount the donk, he is oblivious), if I had something, I probably would have bet the flop. If I bet the turn now, the only had I can really rep (that I don't have- ie one big spade) is something like 88.
Folding preflop crossed my mind, but this guy would open raise KQ/AJ/77+ in that position. With position on him I will gladly play him with AQ in this spot. |
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Posted: Fri, 04 Apr 2008, 11:46pm Post subject:
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Full House
Joined: 12 Dec 2004
Posts: 1296
WPP: 54
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he's two bets cold outta the bb, this is something i'd respect mildly. What does he have here that's so dear to him? 22+, 45s+.
I fold and think he's gettin in a value bet hoping someone with A high calls, but for 6:1, you might be gettin good odds for a bluff call. |
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Posted: Sat, 05 Apr 2008, 12:56am Post subject:
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Full House
Joined: 03 Jul 2005
Posts: 1483
WPP: 79
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| That guy was so loose that cold calling didn't mean anything to him. Results were I called and the BB showed Jc 4c for top pair. |
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