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Posted: Mon, 31 Jan 2005, 8:20pm Post subject: swingin' |
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Full House
Joined: 10 Aug 2004
Posts: 617
WPP: 257
Location: Vegas
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Thats exactly what my Empire bankroll has been doing the past week. It's starting to get comical. This is the kiddie pool so all the BB numbers are dollars
1-25 +26 in 501 hands (+5.14BB/100)
1-26 -59 in 832 hands (-5.16BB/100)
1-27 +68 in 468 hands (+14.15BB/100)
1-28 +14 in 431 hands (+3.25BB/100) woohoo two days in a row!!
1-29 -71 in 878 hands (-8.00BB/100) part of this was due to me tilting
1-30 +2 in 298 hands (+0.59BB/100)
1-31 +110 869 hands (+12.66BB/100) that one was fun
So thats 4353 hands at 2.48BB/100 for $105.90 profit.
The thing I dont understand is that my SD, over the 35,600 hands I have in PT for this level, is 17.0; my winrate of those 35K is 3.18BB/100. The SD for these 7 days is only 15.8, but these 7 days have had the largest swings I've ever seen. Shouldnt the SD numbers be reversed?
Now the bad part that I just noticed, the swings have been getting progressively larger each session. Hmmm, not good at all; gotta put a stop to that. Except for the tilt session on 1-29, I think most of this was due to regular varience. I hope the swings calm down a little bit. |
Last edited by stevedonel on Mon, 31 Jan 2005, 8:48pm; edited 1 time in total
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Posted: Mon, 31 Jan 2005, 8:28pm Post subject: |
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i wouldn't mind a change...
Joined: 12 Jul 2004
Posts: 4636
WPP: 89
Location: TagFish
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How are your aggression numbers?
The more aggressive you are post flop the higher your swings are. You've realized that you play with a bunch of dumbasses so you've decided to raise more. Nothing wrong with that.
Your numbers look good. At the micros though LHE is quite swingy. |
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Posted: Mon, 31 Jan 2005, 8:45pm Post subject: |
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Full House
Joined: 10 Aug 2004
Posts: 617
WPP: 257
Location: Vegas
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True, I have been working on my aggro. I've always known they were dumbasses, now I'm just pushing them around more.
Overall #s
VP$IP 17.14
PFR 5.36
Steal blinds 13.41
Aggro
PF 0.39
F 2.16
T 2.11
R 1.73
Total 1.04
This week's #s
VP$IP 14.61
PFR 6.24
Blind steal 17.42
Aggro
PF 0.65
F 2.91
T 2.68
R 1.89
Total 1.45
Generally, I've been tightening up my hand selection in early position and raising more in late position. Its the stuff you read in every book, but Ididnt really understand until I started playing with more aggression.
Thanks for pointing out the connection between the aggression and swings. Makes sense |
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Posted: Mon, 31 Jan 2005, 8:51pm Post subject: |
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i wouldn't mind a change...
Joined: 12 Jul 2004
Posts: 4636
WPP: 89
Location: TagFish
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re calculate your agg numbers but take the preflop numbers out. Will significantly increase it.
(there should be an option somewhere, you might have to dig for it) |
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Posted: Tue, 01 Feb 2005, 12:21am Post subject: |
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Full House
Joined: 24 Sep 2004
Posts: 1158
WPP: 136
Location: Nest of Douchebags
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| As long as you have that avatar you should be a happy man. |
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Posted: Tue, 01 Feb 2005, 3:03am Post subject: |
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Royal Flush
Joined: 12 Dec 2003
Posts: 17621
WPP: 82
Location: Walk the Walk, Flop the Flop.
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| elipsesjeff wrote: |
The more aggressive you are post flop the higher your swings are. You've realized that you play with a bunch of dumbasses so you've decided to raise more. Nothing wrong with that.
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Not quite true.
Proper aggression with decrease your variance because you'll play bigger pots against smaller fields and be more likely to win without showdown.
Playing too many hands
Making mistakes
Playing against loose players
...all will increase your variance. David Ross noticed this first hand when he kicked up his aggro. |
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FTR25: CakePoker $100 Money-Added Tourney November 25th!!
