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Posted: Thu, 30 Mar 2006, 7:52pm Post subject: The lure of a good hand |
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4-of-a-Kind

Joined: 15 Mar 2006
Posts: 2616 WPP: 84
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So I buy-in at my usual $5.. (ok no flames about that now plz) Creep my way up to $9. I'm pretty happy about myself here, adding 80%. But then I was thinking, damn, I never even once got a good hand preflop. So I leeched these winnings with pretty crappy hands.
Just as I thought this, I got AK. Ok, not the best hand in the world, I vastly prefer the higher pps, but atleast it's a hand I can raise with for a change. Throw 50cents, usually good for 1-2 callers. The whole table joins in. Wtf. Flop is all low cards. Minimal raises all round, which, together with the huge size of the pot, justify me going for my 6 outs. In the end the pot is taken by A7-guy going hitting pair of 7s. Hmf. Next hand I get AJ. Ok, not a winner, but in 6max already a pretty good one. another raise, get 2 callers now. KJx on the flop, I c-bet, get reraised.. and like a DONK I call it. A microsecond later I'm thinking.. bloody hell, what did you do that for? Big raise on the turn and I fold instantly. (guy had KJ) So now I'm down to $4.90. After my "good hands".
Irony.. maybe, but I think in part what might have caused me to throw needless money away there, is the "expectation" to make money off of a playable hand. A very dangerous thing. A leak even. A better hand gives you better odds than a weaker hands.. but to think it has to pay off is donk-play! Ok, I do expect AA and KK to pay off in the vast majority of times, but they're the REAL killer hands ofcourse.
Epilogue:
So it continues, I get a suited connector, hop in there (on the sb I think) with the rest of the table, chase my flush draw with nice odds, it hits and I'm up to $7.
So now I'm thinking, man, who freaking needs a good preflop hand lol. Ok, it's not rational ofcourse, stay focussed on the odds instead of the results jack! Good I said that to myself, cuz right after I got QJs, got in the middle of 3-way brawl and took the pot with yet another flush. Cashed out with $17. |
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Posted: Thu, 30 Mar 2006, 8:43pm Post subject: |
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4-of-a-Kind

Joined: 22 Jun 2005
Posts: 2195 WPP: 52
Location: NZ
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| At microstakes, taking a big hand and dropping the hammer > playing smallball with rags. |
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Posted: Thu, 30 Mar 2006, 9:13pm Post subject: |
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One Pair

Joined: 24 Mar 2006
Posts: 21 WPP: 63
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| When I look down at AK I usually go "yay, I hope they fold". Especially if I'm not in late position and there's already limpers (obviously). I'm just not confident about how to play a missed AK. |
Last edited by ed on Thu, 30 Mar 2006, 10:23pm; edited 1 time in total
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Posted: Thu, 30 Mar 2006, 9:28pm Post subject: |
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4-of-a-Kind

Joined: 15 Mar 2006
Posts: 2616 WPP: 84
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| A higher pp like JJ is so much easier to play. If you get a shitty flop like 248 rainbow, atleast you got a nice overpair to go off. With AK.. eh? Check/fold? But here I threw a huger than usual raise out, to hope to narrow the field, and essentially what you said, hope they fold. Or get one guy and hope you can c-bet him out of the hand. But then the whole table joined in and it missed. |
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Posted: Thu, 30 Mar 2006, 10:32pm Post subject: |
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One Pair

Joined: 24 Mar 2006
Posts: 21 WPP: 63
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| Goal for the weekend will be to learn how to play AK properly. Plan of attack is to first go through the AK examples / hand histories I can find on the forum, then analyze my own hands, followed by asking for feedback on them. |
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Posted: Thu, 30 Mar 2006, 11:15pm Post subject: |
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Straight

Joined: 04 Feb 2006
Posts: 195 WPP: 123
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Look at who you play and not what you play with when you don't hit it.
A Passive (Fish/Rock) will call you with a hand, fold without. Aggressives can be a bit dangerous, especially if they are Loose. That is why when you pre-flop raise, you limit the number of those who are to see the flop. You get one, or maybe two, to go to the flop, you can win provided if no one hits (using c-bets). You play against 3 or more, and it check/fold here. Beware of loose players though. Don't C-Bet them. Semi-loose is questionable, but Rocks and Fish are great to C-Bet into unless they did hit. Flop bets in this AK situation call for value bets and/or C-Bets unless you're playing a maniac or bomb. You have to know who you're playing when you do hit it and how if no one hit, how you can still win with Ace high. |
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Posted: Thu, 30 Mar 2006, 11:21pm Post subject: |
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4-of-a-Kind

Joined: 15 Mar 2006
Posts: 2616 WPP: 84
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| I just lost $2 when I got my flush with T high, but the other guy hit the flush with J high. Right the hand after I won back $1.5 with nothing vs nothing A high lol.. |
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Posted: Fri, 31 Mar 2006, 5:43am Post subject: |
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4-of-a-Kind

Joined: 16 Sep 2005
Posts: 3000 WPP: 92
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AK makes its money when you hit an Axx flop and AJ called your raise.
Dont get upset just because you got a low card flop. Do some maths and look at how unlikely it actually is to hit the flop with AK. |
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Posted: Fri, 31 Mar 2006, 5:46am Post subject: |
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4-of-a-Kind

Joined: 22 Apr 2005
Posts: 3173 WPP: 88
Location: Putney, UK; Full Tilt,Mansion; $50 NL and PL; $13 and $16 SNGs at Stars
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I've played a lot over the last three days - 1500 hands or so - and in that time I have been destacked twice and destacked others 8 times (this is at £25 and $25). One of these stackings was with AK and TPTK (he decided to try to bully me with third pair no kicker but didn't realise that byt the river I only needed to win 16% of the time to make a crying call); the others were with flushes, straight and, best of all, boats. Sample hands which won stacks for me: T3o (from BB), 86o, 89s, 78s, 8Ts.
Small sample size, yadda yadda yadda, but if I didn't play SCs and occasionaly gappers and unsuited connectors, I'd have 1/4 of the profit.
(haha - seems the 8 is my lucky card) |
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Posted: Fri, 31 Mar 2006, 9:39am Post subject: |
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4-of-a-Kind

Joined: 28 Jan 2005
Posts: 3037 WPP: 95
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This level is about seeing flops and taking stacks with winning showdowns. Preflop raises are more pot builders than anything else. Much like Omaha. You raise AK here because it's likely the best hand. You punish the callers who have less. You then must avoid rewarding the hands that outflop you by hanging around too long with bad odds. You can't justify their bad calls before the flop, by handing over implied odds like candy.
If you raise into a villain with a better hand, and then he outflops you, you hit him on the short end, and must deny him value on the long end to effectively "win" the hand even though he won the pot. |
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Posted: Fri, 31 Mar 2006, 9:52am Post subject: |
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i rarely, if ever, get pms

Joined: 28 Apr 2005
Posts: 4061 WPP: 185
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| ed wrote: | | Goal for the weekend will be to learn how to play AK properly. Plan of attack is to first go through the AK examples / hand histories I can find on the forum, then analyze my own hands, followed by asking for feedback on them. |
Learning how to play AK profitably preflop is pretty easy.
AK postflop could take pages and pages - it all depends on your position, stacks, table image and reads. |
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Posted: Fri, 31 Mar 2006, 10:37am Post subject: |
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4-of-a-Kind

Joined: 15 Mar 2006
Posts: 2616 WPP: 84
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| biondino wrote: | I've played a lot over the last three days - 1500 hands or so - and in that time I have been destacked twice and destacked others 8 times (this is at £25 and $25). One of these stackings was with AK and TPTK (he decided to try to bully me with third pair no kicker but didn't realise that byt the river I only needed to win 16% of the time to make a crying call); the others were with flushes, straight and, best of all, boats. Sample hands which won stacks for me: T3o (from BB), 86o, 89s, 78s, 8Ts.
Small sample size, yadda yadda yadda, but if I didn't play SCs and occasionaly gappers and unsuited connectors, I'd have 1/4 of the profit.
(haha - seems the 8 is my lucky card) | Great post, thx. Today I've been in a bit of poker confusion to be honest; As if the general ideas I had about poker were kinda wrong; I think you put into words somewhat the things I had been "feeling" here.
So just when I thought, yet again, that I had reached another level of skill and insight.. I noticed that I actually didn't know squat about poker!
I even started to ask myself rather conceptual questions.. how "good" are these "good hands" I was talking about earlier really?! And, why the heck do people RAISE in the first place? It might seem trivial, but it really is not. There are actually different forces at work here. One of them being that you take claims to the pot; If you want to contest my claim there, you have to call my raise. Another is that you put a price on your opponent seeing the next card. The difference might not be very clear, but it does have VERY different implications in the math and odds underlying it. But then even THAT is not the whole story. Because if it were, you'd hypothecate the pot and the ability for your opponents to see more cards the very second you have the best odds to win; Or in other words, you'd push all-in with AA preflop every time. So why don't people do this? Because it doesn't maximize your profit potential.
And I wondered how the heck I managed to run any sort of profit in the past, with the extremely low skill I had.. and concluded it had more to do with the suckyness of my opponents at 10NL; their against-the-odds decisions and most of all their willingness to commit their stack to feeble holdings like middle pair!
More thinking needs to be done here.. not so much what the odds to this and that are.. but rather, where the heck those odds come from! |
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Posted: Fri, 31 Mar 2006, 3:45pm Post subject: |
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4-of-a-Kind

Joined: 22 Apr 2005
Posts: 3173 WPP: 88
Location: Putney, UK; Full Tilt,Mansion; $50 NL and PL; $13 and $16 SNGs at Stars
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Jack, please tell me if this comment is out of order, but I wonder if you think almost TOO much about poker. I get the feeling that your thinking has jumped ahead of your play, and I worry that the gap between theory and experience might not lead to trouble for you.
In the post you quote, I say I made most of my recent profit playing suited gappers/connectors etc., and indeed I did. But I also have spent 60,000-odd hands learning *just about* how to play such hands, and the reason I feel I am now able to do so is because I have a "feel" fgor the game which I suspect only comes from playing hand after hand after hand.
You are almost too good a student, like a 3rd grader who is so bright he studies up to 7th grade level at home and then gets to class and discovers he's in some kind of limbo between what he knows and what he is expected to know. |
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Posted: Fri, 31 Mar 2006, 4:43pm Post subject: |
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4-of-a-Kind

Joined: 15 Mar 2006
Posts: 2616 WPP: 84
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Hm, that last thing kinda describes me as a kid. But not for a long time anymore, atleast in my studies. Much to the aggravation of my parents, I never do anything. I flunk most of my classes year after year lol. But I guess it's still inside me when I actually get motivated for something
Anyway, what can I say, I'm a big geek. I've spent the last few hours mathematically analysing basically the entire game of poker and the rules that govern it. Still at it now, quite some time to go too. There were some things in my head that just didn't add up, that kept confusing me. And I hate that. Finally got to where I went wrong, but still more to do. I don't really mind doing this either, I figure I can hopefully turn poker into a little side-income in the future, if need be. Reached some nice conclusions, but like most of the things I post here, that will probably just be psycho-babble that only makes sense to me, so I won't bore you guys with it
Funny thing though.. the previous semester I was in my "going out, socializing and picking up girls"-phase, and everyone (talking about real life people) was all like "wow", "how do you do it?", "teach me too" bla bla. Now everyone is all like "man wtf are you playing poker for all day?!" Lol, whatever.. |
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Posted: Sat, 01 Apr 2006, 4:22am Post subject: |
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4-of-a-Kind

Joined: 22 Apr 2005
Posts: 3173 WPP: 88
Location: Putney, UK; Full Tilt,Mansion; $50 NL and PL; $13 and $16 SNGs at Stars
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| Sacrificing girls for poker is a VERY worrying development - are you sure you've got your priorities right? |
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Posted: Sat, 01 Apr 2006, 4:23am Post subject: |
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4-of-a-Kind

Joined: 22 Apr 2005
Posts: 3173 WPP: 88
Location: Putney, UK; Full Tilt,Mansion; $50 NL and PL; $13 and $16 SNGs at Stars
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| Though obv sacrificing girls for the poker gods is entirely acceptable. Carry on. |
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Posted: Sat, 01 Apr 2006, 8:28am Post subject: |
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One Pair

Joined: 27 Feb 2006
Posts: 22 WPP: 150
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| Every time I get dealt an AK offsuit I inwardly cringe. I lose regularly with this hand. In fact I think AK stands for Anna Kournikova. Sure, she looks great, but she also never wins any money. |
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Posted: Sat, 01 Apr 2006, 8:50am Post subject: |
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Two Pair

Joined: 06 Mar 2006
Posts: 49 WPP: 224
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Checking my PokerOffice stats..
I have seen AK 19 times in 2700 hands, seen the flop everytime, only won 5 times. Over all, I have lost $.50 each hand (at 10/NL).
Which tells me.. I need to learn how to play AK post flop.
Just last evening, I lost $6 to a straight (A-1o) with two pair (Aces and Kings). |
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Posted: Sat, 01 Apr 2006, 2:05pm Post subject: |
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Straight

Joined: 30 Dec 2005
Posts: 208 WPP: 45
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| DWayneBos wrote: | Checking my PokerOffice stats..
I have seen AK 19 times in 2700 hands, seen the flop everytime, only won 5 times. Over all, I have lost $.50 each hand (at 10/NL).
Which tells me.. I need to learn how to play AK post flop.
Just last evening, I lost $6 to a straight (A-1o) with two pair (Aces and Kings). |
with such a small sample size shit like that will change it alot.
That hand took your profit per hand down about $0.30 |
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Posted: Sat, 01 Apr 2006, 6:35pm Post subject: |
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Straight

Joined: 01 Apr 2005
Posts: 235 WPP: 124
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| jackvance wrote: |
Funny thing though.. the previous semester I was in my "going out, socializing and picking up girls"-phase, and everyone (talking about real life people) was all like "wow", "how do you do it?", "teach me too" bla bla. Now everyone is all like "man wtf are you playing poker for all day?!" Lol, whatever.. |
Stopping this to go buy in for $5 and hope to make $4 is the stupidest thing I've ever heard. I could kind of understand if you were socializing less to play 50NL or higher, but not so much that people are calling you out on it (unless you're playing profitably at 200NL or higher than it's whatever). But really get your fucking priorities straight.
I'm a college student also by the way. Pledging a fraternity this semester and still playing plenty of poker but not so much that it messes with my social life. Help it helps my social life because I buy alcohol with the money and used a lot of the money for Spring break. What can you buy with $4? I don't mean to be an asshole but damn. |
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Posted: Sat, 01 Apr 2006, 6:53pm Post subject: |
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4-of-a-Kind

Joined: 15 Mar 2006
Posts: 2616 WPP: 84
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The reason is:
1) I can't help it. If it's on my mind, that's all that's on my mind.
2) I picked up poker less than a month ago. Didn't even know the rules before that. My way of doing things is to "freak" on something for a relatively short period of time, to get good at it quick so I can ease on that skill after, rather than moderately learn over a longer stretched period of time.
It's not like I'm gonna be like this for months. How it usually goes is that when I get a sense that it's going ok or something, the urge goes away and I move on to new projects. |
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Posted: Sun, 02 Apr 2006, 4:55am Post subject: |
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Straight

Joined: 01 Apr 2005
Posts: 235 WPP: 124
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| K, that's more understandable. I kind of have that tendancy to, though maybe not to the same extreme. I dunno. |
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Posted: Sun, 02 Apr 2006, 5:54am Post subject: |
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