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1/2 on Stars, Flopped flush vs. Paired Board

  
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lambchopdc
Post Posted: Sun, 26 Mar 2006, 9:22pm    Post subject: 1/2 on Stars, Flopped flush vs. Paired Board Reply with quote
Flush
Flush

Joined: 01 Jul 2005
Posts: 350
WPP: 594

PokerStars Game #4425503723: Hold'em No Limit ($1/$2) - 2006/03/26 - 21:11:33 (ET)
Table 'Ostenia' 6-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: sweeper15 ($88.15 in chips)
Seat 2: hedindasky ($238.70 in chips)
Seat 3: lambchopdc ($545 in chips)
Seat 4: dflat ($256.15 in chips)
Seat 5: Bwd26 ($255.60 in chips)
Seat 6: b.stern ($228.15 in chips)
b.stern: posts small blind $1
sweeper15: posts big blind $2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to lambchopdc [Jc 9c]
hedindasky: calls $2
lambchopdc: calls $2
dflat: calls $2
Bwd26: calls $2
b.stern: calls $1
sweeper15: checks
*** FLOP *** [Qc 4c Kc]
b.stern: checks
sweeper15: bets $8
hedindasky: folds
lambchopdc: calls $8
dflat: folds
Bwd26: folds
b.stern: folds
*** TURN *** [Qc 4c Kc] [Ks]
sweeper15: bets $8
lambchopdc: raises $18 to $26
sweeper15: calls $18
*** RIVER *** [Qc 4c Kc Ks] [Jh]
sweeper15: bets $52.15 and is all-in
lambchopdc: ????

Pot is almost $80 before his river push...no solid read...i think this is kinda borderline considering he might be on a weak king. thoughts?
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aislephive
Post Posted: Sun, 26 Mar 2006, 10:10pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
4-of-a-Kind
4-of-a-Kind

Joined: 25 Jul 2005
Posts: 1523
WPP: 113
Location: Downswinging holla!
You're getting pretty decent odds on a call here, about 2.5-1. I might be inclined to call this, but I don't blame you for folding if you did since I can easily see him having a boat here.
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Iwind
Post Posted: Mon, 27 Mar 2006, 5:49am    Post subject: Reply with quote
Flush
Flush

Joined: 12 Sep 2005
Posts: 435
WPP: 111
Location: Norway
I`d call here for sure, looks like he has a boat, but without a solid read I don`t fold to a shortstack with these pot odds, you will see a weak king or just a silly bluff here often enough. I make loose calls playing with shorstacks all the time both at 200NL and 400NL and its turned out to be +EV play for me at least. I consider anyone with less than half a buyin short..
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arkana
Post Posted: Mon, 27 Mar 2006, 6:49am    Post subject: Reply with quote
Full House
Full House

Joined: 15 Mar 2005
Posts: 1109
WPP: 137

Considering that you get 2:1 pot odds when your opponent makes a pot sized bet, 2.5:1 isnt really that great.

This is a fold (you see the boat here more than 70% of the time IMO) unless you have information that tells you this villain would push the river without a boat.
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Pingviini
Post Posted: Mon, 27 Mar 2006, 8:16am    Post subject: Reply with quote
Full House
Full House

Joined: 08 Feb 2005
Posts: 1090
WPP: 125
Location: Bangkok
If villain is an abc tighty I like the flop call but against a stronger player I am raising the flop, and calling the turn when the board pairs. my line here would be raise, call, fold for flopturnriver.
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gabe
Post Posted: Mon, 27 Mar 2006, 8:38am    Post subject: Reply with quote
EAT BUGS
EAT BUGS

Joined: 07 Dec 2004
Posts: 7812
WPP: 51
Location: trying to live
i think preflop is raise or fold.
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Pingviini
Post Posted: Mon, 27 Mar 2006, 10:53am    Post subject: Reply with quote
Full House
Full House

Joined: 08 Feb 2005
Posts: 1090
WPP: 125
Location: Bangkok
yea about PF. calling is good only when the table is passive both PF and PoF. (IMO)
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gabe
Post Posted: Mon, 27 Mar 2006, 11:18am    Post subject: Reply with quote
EAT BUGS
EAT BUGS

Joined: 07 Dec 2004
Posts: 7812
WPP: 51
Location: trying to live
Pingviini wrote:
yea about PF. calling is good only when the table is passive both PF and PoF. (IMO)

agreed...and raise is great when the limper is bad and you can isolate him and the people behind you are relatively tight
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zenbitz
Post Posted: Mon, 27 Mar 2006, 4:14pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
4-of-a-Kind
4-of-a-Kind

Joined: 28 Jul 2004
Posts: 2911
WPP: 107

He could also have the nut flush. Played wierd, but I don't see KQ/QQ/KK limping pre-flop, JJ maybe but unlikely he flat calls the turn raise with JJ (and you have a jack). So that leaves 44/K4 as the only reasonable boats, and the K4 only because he's in the BB in an unraised pot.

However, he could also make the same assumption about you holding AXclubs... heck, he could have AT with the Ac and just be donkish.
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