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Pre-flop quiz: Common situation in the BB

  
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Fnord
Post Posted: Mon, 11 Oct 2004, 2:51pm    Post subject: Pre-flop quiz: Common situation in the BB Reply with quote
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Party 2/4 or 3/6 game. Mixed bag of players, table is overall LooPy with some weird aggression.

You're in the big blind. 4 players limp, SB completes.

What hands are you raising and why?

Bonus: What hands are close?
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melinda27
Post Posted: Mon, 11 Oct 2004, 3:14pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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i'd say my strong drawing hands, big suited connectors and such. Because i'd be getting more money into the pot to give me good odds to go after my draws without much risk in being chased out of the pot by an overly aggressive player.

I still have alot to learn in poker so i'm assuming i'm waaaay off base here.
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Fnord
Post Posted: Mon, 11 Oct 2004, 3:19pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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melinda27 wrote:
i'd say my strong drawing hands, big suited connectors and such. Because i'd be getting more money into the pot to give me good odds to go after my draws without much risk in being chased out of the pot by an overly aggressive player.


You're in the right ballpark. Certainly doing better than the weak/tight playbook that says you only raise AA/KK here.
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melinda27
Post Posted: Mon, 11 Oct 2004, 3:25pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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I wouldnt raise AA or KK here, because with 5 people in the pot and the odds of trimming down the field with a raise preflop are slim so basically i'm stuck playing them for set or backdoor flush/straight value and postflop reduced to check calling down or possibly even folding if the board gets too coordinated.

Is this the wrong thinking as well?
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fishstick
Post Posted: Mon, 11 Oct 2004, 3:28pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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based on your description of the table, your raise from the BB:

- probably wouldn't reduce the field, and,
- there's a chance you could get reraised

that said, you're basically raising to build the pot/for value, and to make your opponents make a mistake by calling your raise

AA, KK, QQ - JJ/TT not sure about

AK - AT suited

KQ - KJ suited

AK, AQ off

QJ, JT suited, not sure about - probably not
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Fnord
Post Posted: Mon, 11 Oct 2004, 3:35pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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melinda27 wrote:
I wouldnt raise AA or KK here, because with 5 people in the pot and the odds of trimming down the field with a raise preflop are slim so basically i'm stuck playing them for set or backdoor flush/straight value and postflop reduced to check calling down or possibly even folding if the board gets too coordinated.

Is this the wrong thinking as well?


Really weak/tight wrong. I think you catch a set around 20% of the time with all 5 cards. AA/KK win around ~50% here. With AA/KK, the bigger the field is the more +EV, but your variance also goes up. Hence, we can make the argument for limping them from EP if the game texure is such that your raise will scare off the fishies, but you will get a raise behind quite often.


Last edited by Fnord on Mon, 11 Oct 2004, 3:40pm; edited 1 time in total
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melinda27
Post Posted: Mon, 11 Oct 2004, 3:37pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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i figured i was wrong
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koolmoe
Post Posted: Mon, 11 Oct 2004, 3:38pm    Post subject: Re: Pre-flop quiz: Common situation in the BB Reply with quote
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Fnord wrote:
Party 2/4 or 3/6 game. Mixed bag of players, table is overall LooPy with some weird aggression.

You're in the big blind. 4 players limp, SB completes.

What hands are you raising and why?

Bonus: What hands are close?


With the weird aggression you have some nice implied odds, and you have enough players along for the ride to build a pot for your opponents to draw.

I'd raise any suited A, pocket pairs 9 (8?) and higher, any suited paints.

Definitely wouldn't raise offsuited broadway cards.
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Krapp
Post Posted: Mon, 11 Oct 2004, 3:39pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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I dont know why the reference to "Party" but Loopy is Loose/Passive? They are mostly calling stations? I would:

- limp my draws preflop (suited connectors, 1-gappers, 2-gappers)
- Big pairs: Doesnt have as much value into multi-way pots and against loose/passive players. If its a 5-way flop I would only raise the bigger pairs, in hopes to knock a few out on the flop. e.g. QQ, KK, AA, AK (maybe JJ). Since they are passive, dont have to worry about bluffs and raises... Since theyre loose, if they make it passed the flop, any TPTK isnt worth as much in a muti-way going to the river. However, starting-out with JJ+ against loopy players should justify a raise and maybe the postflop play would be passive enough where you might have an edge on the river.
- Big Suited connectors: AKs. I believe the suited connectors are strong only when you catch your draw against this table, so I dont think i would raise with them since I am only going to flop a draw 1 out-of 9 times.. Also the more opps in the better with these hands...


Last edited by Krapp on Mon, 11 Oct 2004, 3:43pm; edited 1 time in total
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Fnord
Post Posted: Mon, 11 Oct 2004, 3:42pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Krapp wrote:
I dont know why the reference to "Party" but Loopy is Loose/Passive? They are mostly calling stations? I would:


I'm giving a reference game.

The typical player here plays a few too many hands, calls too much and misapplies aggression in odd spots.

This isn't the 15/30 semi-pro + rich fishies game. Nor is it the micro-limit play any 2 and take it to the river (raise with the near nuts) game.


Last edited by Fnord on Mon, 11 Oct 2004, 3:47pm; edited 1 time in total
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Fnord
Post Posted: Mon, 11 Oct 2004, 3:45pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Krapp wrote:

- Big Suited connectors: AKs. I believe the suited connectors are strong only when you catch your draw against this table, so I dont think i would raise with them since I am only going to flop a draw 1 out-of 9 times..


My suited connector play kinda sucks. Just curious what your odds are of flopping one or more of the following:

2 pair
trips
straight draw
flush draw
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Krapp
Post Posted: Mon, 11 Oct 2004, 3:54pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Fnord wrote:

My suited connector play kinda sucks. Just curious what your odds are of flopping one or more of the following:

2 pair
trips
straight draw
flush draw


2-pair -> 2%
trips -> 1.35%
straight draw -> dont know but I am gonna say its a little easier than flopping a flush draw (13%?)
flush draw -> 11%
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Fnord
Post Posted: Mon, 11 Oct 2004, 3:57pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Krapp wrote:

2-pair -> 2%
trips -> 1.35%
straight draw -> dont know but I am gonna say its a little easier than flopping a flush draw (13%?)
flush draw -> 11%


That gets you in the ballpark of playing 1 in 5 flops, making the case for a raise here.


opps... I ran the numbers once, here is what I got

3.5% two pair/trips/boat
7.2% strait draw
11% four flush
----
22%

I guess you can throw in the times you can peel one for a gutshot in a raised pot and make the case for raising...
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Krapp
Post Posted: Mon, 11 Oct 2004, 4:24pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Fnord wrote:


2-pair -> 2%
trips -> 1.35%
straight draw -> 7%
flush draw -> 11%
----
22%


Hm the straight draw gets me confused. Its worth less than a flush and its harder to make a straight draw on the flop and on the turn/river vs flush. I guess straight draws are more frequent with any 2-random cards than flushes... I guess the odds look ok to raise, but maybe I would prefer 1-more opp in since I am out-of-position.
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Fnord
Post Posted: Mon, 11 Oct 2004, 4:27pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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I'm not really scientific about this, so am probably off in some spots. I might even be too tight...

Big pairs, raise for value as you will win often without a set:
AA/KK/QQ/JJ
TT is close

Med/Small pairs:
99-22
You need a set or OSD for value. However, there is a school of thought that raising these will force otherwise somewhat tight players to call you down with more marginal holdings. With 5 other players is really close, and I'll just check to see a flop.

Big suited cards:
AK/AQ/AJ/AT
KQ

Monsters in a multi-pot, raise for value. With both high card value and a flush draw you will win more than your fair share.

Middle suited cards:
KJ/KT
QJ/QT
JT

Probably still a raise. JTs certainly is.


Suited Aces:
A9 and down

As your kicker gets lower you lose value, as it goes from close to about break even. The size of the field drives how low I'd go for my X.


Suited Connectors:
QJs - 54s

QJs, JTs and T9s still have some high card power and rarely make a sucker end hence are clear raises. As we go down the list it becomes closer.

Big Offsuit cards:
These guys are the pay-off hands in multi-pots. AK is still clearly a raise. AQ/AJ/KQ are close. Some players will raise and lead the flop. Others will check and look to check/raise the field if they hit. Raising anything else is throwing money away.

Suited semi-connectors:
Maybe some of them if the field was bigger, I'm inclinded to just say no.

Unsuited Connectors:
Nope

Junk:
Nope
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