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Posted: Mon, 30 Jun 2008, 6:49pm Post subject: Limped pot, middle set on monotone
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4-of-a-Kind
Joined: 17 Aug 2006
Posts: 1599
WPP: 61
Location: Cheshire, UK
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Relative unknowns, meh?
$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
9 players
Converted at weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG ($22.15)
UTG 1 ($54.10)
MP1 ($25.00)
Hero ($49.75)
MP3 ($52.15)
CO ($91.40)
BTN ($49.25)
SB ($51.55)
BB ($85.10)
[MP1 posted $0.5]
Pre-flop: ($1.25, 9 players) Hero is MP2  
2 folds, MP1 checks, Hero calls $0.50, 3 folds, SB calls $0.25, BB checks
Flop:    ($2, 4 players)
SB checks, BB bets $2, MP1 calls $2, Hero raises to $7.75, SB folds, BB calls $5.75, MP1 goes all-in $24.50, $16.75 to Hero ($41.5)? |
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Posted: Mon, 30 Jun 2008, 7:04pm Post subject:
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Royal Flush
Joined: 12 Dec 2003
Posts: 18762
WPP: 81
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
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Posted: Tue, 01 Jul 2008, 7:26am Post subject: Re: Limped pot, middle set on monotone
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Full House
Joined: 04 Jul 2006
Posts: 1310
WPP: 129
Location: In the Matrix
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| Muzzard wrote: | Relative unknowns, meh?
$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
9 players
Converted at weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG ($22.15)
UTG 1 ($54.10)
MP1 ($25.00)
Hero ($49.75)
MP3 ($52.15)
CO ($91.40)
BTN ($49.25)
SB ($51.55)
BB ($85.10)
[MP1 posted $0.5]
Pre-flop: ($1.25, 9 players) Hero is MP2
2 folds, MP1 checks, Hero calls $0.50, 3 folds, SB calls $0.25, BB checks
Flop: ($2, 4 players)
SB checks, BB bets $2, MP1 calls $2, Hero raises to $7.75, SB folds, BB calls $5.75, MP1 goes all-in $24.50, $16.75 to Hero ($41.5)? |
MP1 posts: so he's not that good!
BB: might have Ksx/set/flush
Let's first forget about BB (we'll examine it later).
Against only MP1: you'll need to call about $15 to a $44.5 pot. So that's about 3-1 where you need to have 25% of equity. Even if he has the flush you have at least 30% vs his flush.
Including BB: However, here we need to push to remove odds from BB (in the case he has Ksx). BB will not have AA often here. So in terms of sets he can only reasonably have 22 here. So it's either 22/flush/Kxs.
The odds to hit flush on the FLOP are around 118 - 1. So I put his range much more on 22 or Ksx on which our equity is huge! Even if BB has the flush we would be putting $41.5 to win $86 ($44.5 + $41.5), which is about 2.1 - 1 = about 31-2%
Conclusion: Without reads, I push over MP1 push. |
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Posted: Tue, 01 Jul 2008, 8:09am Post subject:
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Royal Flush
Joined: 12 Dec 2003
Posts: 18762
WPP: 81
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
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| Hero rarely has the best hand here. Kind of hard to just flat the flop though. Opps. |
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Posted: Wed, 02 Jul 2008, 3:44am Post subject:
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Full House
Joined: 04 Jul 2006
Posts: 1310
WPP: 129
Location: In the Matrix
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| Fnord wrote: | | Hero rarely has the best hand here. Kind of hard to just flat the flop though. Opps. |
I agree, but with the money in the pot and our 30% equity I don't think we can fold here. |
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Posted: Wed, 02 Jul 2008, 4:09am Post subject:
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4-of-a-Kind
Joined: 17 Aug 2006
Posts: 1599
WPP: 61
Location: Cheshire, UK
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| I shoved coz that's what i do with a set on a monotone, I get called and boat up. They both mucked a flush. |
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Posted: Thu, 03 Jul 2008, 12:15am Post subject:
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Full House
Joined: 03 Apr 2006
Posts: 655
WPP: 81
Location: Northern BC, Canada
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| thats awesome^^ FH > Flush > Flush |
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Full Tilt Poker FTOPS XIV - Event 11 $200+$16 PLO/8
