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Posted: Tue, 30 Jun 2009, 4:12pm Post subject: Let's bluff fishies!
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4-of-a-Kind
Joined: 06 Feb 2007
Posts: 3072
WPP: 65
Location: Spewing
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Villain is a 40/15 fish. I have no further reads other than stats and I presume this will possible be what makes this hand spew... On the flop I choose to bet since I have good value against villains calling range, I expect the SB (15/10 with high fold to cbet over decent sample) to fold a lot to my utg+1 raise and cbet into a fish. Turn and river thoughts?
$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
9 players
Converted at weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG ($224.75)
Hero (UTG+1) ($205.35)
MP1 ($203.25)
MP2 ($374.20)
MP3 ($215.75)
CO ($273.45)
BTN ($183.55)
SB ($256.25)
BB ($117.00)
Pre-flop: ($3, 9 players) Hero is UTG+1  
1 fold, Hero raises to $8, 4 folds, BTN calls $8, SB calls $7, 1 fold
Flop:    ($26, 3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $20, BTN calls $20, SB folds
Turn:  ($66, 2 players)
Hero bets $40, BTN calls $40
River:  ($146, 2 players)
Hero bets $137.35, |
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Posted: Tue, 30 Jun 2009, 7:59pm Post subject:
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Flush
Joined: 13 Jun 2007
Posts: 594
WPP: 52
Location: Stavanger, Norway
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dont see kings in his range, since he got SB behind and calling with overcards would be totally shitty even if your a donk. AK might do it. Underpairs to the king is def in his range so is 22, 55 sometimes AA. Tho the chance of him calling AA preflop and not raising it on the flop or turn is slim-
22.55-QQ is his most common range, AK and AA is very slim. Have experience donks dont fold QQ here tho, and he might question your shove because there is a flushdraw that missed.
Your bluff needs to work 52% of the time, do you think it will? I am not sure |
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Posted: Tue, 30 Jun 2009, 9:10pm Post subject:
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Full House
Joined: 25 May 2008
Posts: 1148
WPP: 64
Location: Manc U.K.
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| The actual hand would usually be fine but the fact you're bluffing a fish, meh I'm not so sure, dunno if he's gonna fold qq-. He could also have floated the flop with kx, which he def won't fold. |
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Posted: Tue, 30 Jun 2009, 9:53pm Post subject:
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Straight Flush
Joined: 04 May 2007
Posts: 5683
WPP: 126
Location: Ballarat, Australia
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| Turn seems good, river doesnt. |
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Posted: Tue, 30 Jun 2009, 11:33pm Post subject:
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Flush
Joined: 23 Nov 2008
Posts: 348
WPP: 45
Location: not anymore
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| the real question to ask here is if he'll fold 85s |
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Posted: Wed, 01 Jul 2009, 2:25pm Post subject:
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4-of-a-Kind
Joined: 24 Oct 2005
Posts: 3556
WPP: 112
Location: at your tables, calling your bets
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| bjsaust wrote: | | Turn seems good, river doesnt. |
No way, you can't bet the turn without betting the river, but I'm not sure I'd bet the turn. Some fish will fold this river a lot, others will snap call with 65s as someone else said, it's really just a wild guess without anything better than "villain is a 40/15 fish." |
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