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Implied Odds In Action, Right Play?

  
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daluchy
Post Posted: Thu, 30 Jun 2005, 1:01am    Post subject: Implied Odds In Action, Right Play? Reply with quote
Full House
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Joined: 25 May 2005
Posts: 691
WPP: 79

It's probably the first time I ever made such a call early in a SnG.

The SB was a loose aggressive, almost maniacal. Anytime he bet some strange number to make his chip stack bet look larger was when he either had nothing or had something that he didn't want you to call. He'd try and bluff you out the whole hand. I figured I had my straight draw outs, flush draw outs, hell even top pair outs.

If I hit anything, I'd double up on him. Would you have played the hand the same?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (7 handed) converter

SB (t2711)
BB (t2166)
UTG (t344)
MP1 (t4940)
MP2 (t464)
CO (t1445)
Hero (t1430)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 8Diamond, 7Diamond.
4 folds, Hero calls t50, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: (t150) 6Spade, 2Diamond, 5Club (3 players)
SB checks, BB bets t77, Hero calls t77, SB folds.

Turn: (t304) 5Diamond (2 players)
BB bets t333, Hero calls t333.
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vqc
Post Posted: Thu, 30 Jun 2005, 2:20am    Post subject: Reply with quote
Straight Flush
Straight Flush

Joined: 24 Jan 2005
Posts: 5409
WPP: 60

calling the flop bet is fine, its not that many chips and if you hit you get paid off.

However! Another option could be reraising the flop to about 200. THe problem I see here is that you are not thinking ahead far enough. You need to take into consideration what happens when you DONT hit your hand. IN this case you didnt hit ur hand on the turn but you still called the 333 bet. Why? If you are going to commit the chips to see the river, I think that your best play would be to reraise the flop bet to about 200 and play from there. This could potentially get a free card on the river.

You raise his bet to 200 on the flop.
He checks the turn, you check behind, and see the river for free.

Just thinking outloud, anyone care to tell me if this wiuld be a bad play?
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andr3w321
Post Posted: Thu, 30 Jun 2005, 2:53am    Post subject: Reply with quote
Flush
Flush

Joined: 13 Jun 2005
Posts: 413
WPP: 220
Location: Chapel Hill, NC
What vqchuang said is a good way to play the hand. Pre-flop I probably would have raised to go for a blind steal but limping is fine too. If you don't want to raise the flop and commit too many chips, I would have folded on the turn bet. The pot is like 304 after the flop and he overbets the pot. More than likely you are behind in the hand since I assume he has at least a pair and 333 chips is a lot to commit to a draw. Using this calculator, http://www.cardplayer.com/poker_odds/texas_holdem.php?PHPSESSID=f16ebf8cd5eb1d3a171be92c2830c6cb# I assumed he had something like K6o. After the turn you had about 45% chance of winning the hand.
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daluchy
Post Posted: Thu, 30 Jun 2005, 3:03am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Joined: 25 May 2005
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It was only 25/50 so I didn't want to blind steal at that time. I'll limp a suited connector early in a SnG until the blinds are worth stealing.

Yeah I wasn't planning what to do from the turn on when I called the flop bet. I just saw a small bet and was happy I could get to my draws for a cheap price. I just wanted to see another card.

Re-raising the flop would of been a good idea. Atleast I'd be in control of the hand and maybe get a free card or a fold on the flop. I'll definately do that next time.

I wanted to call the cheap flop bet. When the diamond hit and opened up my outs dramatically, I didn't mind the expensive turn call. The turn wasn't good pot odds to call I know that. I was just figuring if I do hit, I'm getting doubled up. If I don't, well I'd still have around 1000 and be in good shape.

I'll post the results later after a little more analysis.
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drmcboy
Post Posted: Thu, 30 Jun 2005, 10:01am    Post subject: Reply with quote
Straight Flush
Straight Flush

Joined: 18 Aug 2004
Posts: 7935
WPP: 67

re raise the flop. If you can't pull the trigger here, stop playing connectors. That's about the best flop you can get.

AI or fold on the turn... if he's loose I'd lean towards folding, but your read is confusing - when he bets big he either has something or nothing? If you've seen him lay down after putting in a big bet I'd prefer the AI, if he is the type that is calling you here with TP it's time to lay it down.
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daluchy
Post Posted: Thu, 30 Jun 2005, 10:24am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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I mean he either has nothing or something low like bottom pair.
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ihategnomes
Post Posted: Thu, 30 Jun 2005, 1:03pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Location: Louisiana
Limping Impied odd hands in LP is better than stealing the blinds with them, as you gain a lot more chips in the long run with one hit. If the blinds were bigger, I wouldnt mind a raise preflop.
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drmcboy
Post Posted: Thu, 30 Jun 2005, 1:28pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Joined: 18 Aug 2004
Posts: 7935
WPP: 67

if he has nothing, your implied odds are 0, so you can't call (obviously AI is good here).... unless you think maybe he'll bluff again on the river? I can't see it. If you really think he has a deuce, AI is clearly the play. but if he could have been betting middle pair, he made a set and is not going to fold to your AI. You do have decent odds there since he doesn't seem like the type to lay down a set... still I think I'm folding. You don't know which outs are good, either. If you hit an 8 or 7 do you win, or is he in there with 99? Could he have a bigger flush draw? If so a ton of your outs are tainted.
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Toasty
Post Posted: Thu, 30 Jun 2005, 3:21pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
4-of-a-Kind
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Joined: 02 Apr 2004
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Location: England UK
I hate the limp pre flop I think its the worst decision you can make with folding being your best move and raising second.
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ihategnomes
Post Posted: Thu, 30 Jun 2005, 3:41pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Why? Is this your approach on small to middle pocket pairs as well?
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daluchy
Post Posted: Thu, 30 Jun 2005, 11:49pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Joined: 25 May 2005
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Ok I thought about this one for a bit. My approach early in a tourney (below 75/150 BB) is weak tight. I'll fold most hands, but I'll limp pocket pairs small-medium any position and suited connectors late position.

The reason for no raising at anytime in this hand is because of my weak tight image. I'll rather just call bets if I'm chasing something.

Later on I'm alot more TAg. If this occured later I'd be blind stealing pre-flop and semi-bluff raising the flop.

I had him on a top/middle/low pair the whole hand. That is why I believed my top pair out was good too and didn't mind just being a calling station.
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drmcboy
Post Posted: Fri, 01 Jul 2005, 9:28am    Post subject: Reply with quote
Straight Flush
Straight Flush

Joined: 18 Aug 2004
Posts: 7935
WPP: 67

weak tight is not a strategy you're looking to implement.

You keep saying middle pair, but middle pair made trips, so I guess you're saying top or bottom pair... if you really put him on one of those two, why not move in? He's folding a deuce and maybe folding the 6, but if not you're almost even money. Now you've given yourself a chance to win this pot, regardless of the river. And don't forget he may have nothing. And honesty, if the 7 comes and he puts you AI, are you really going to call?

Calling down is not the way to beat a bluffer, re raising is.
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Toasty
Post Posted: Sat, 02 Jul 2005, 10:18am    Post subject: Reply with quote
4-of-a-Kind
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Joined: 02 Apr 2004
Posts: 1522
WPP: 82
Location: England UK
The reason i hate it is because its an open limp from the button.
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