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Posted: Tue, 29 Mar 2005, 8:50pm Post subject: I really wanted to fold this set..
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Full House
Joined: 29 Nov 2004
Posts: 1254
WPP: 83
Location: Sweden
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50NL
3 players limp
me and player2 have 200+BB stacks, player2 is a tight player who raises his big hands pre flop.
I get dealt  
flop:   
I bet $2 player3 folds, player 2 raises to $6, i re raise to $20, he re raises to 50$...
now I am thinking that I am beat, what else than a set of nines would he make this play with or less likely a set of jacks? I think to myself that he most likely has the set of nines, but push anyhow reminding myself of all the advice about not folding these type of hands because it will be +EV in the long run.
Pot 208$, opponent shows 99 a set of nines, precisely the hand I feared..
Does anyone make this fold? Or should I supress that inner voice and play it mechanically? |
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Posted: Tue, 29 Mar 2005, 9:53pm Post subject:
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3-of-a-Kind
Joined: 28 Mar 2005
Posts: 75
WPP: 58
Location: Fairfax, VA
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| I honestly DONT make this fold, on the basis that he didnt raise preflop, and you says he raises big hands preflop. Personally, I would put him on J9 or Jx, either way, I think I would call the 50 and gauge it from there. |
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Posted: Tue, 29 Mar 2005, 11:32pm Post subject:
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Full House
Joined: 03 Mar 2005
Posts: 883
WPP: 85
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If you don't lose all your money here...
Yeah yeah, we know. |
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Posted: Tue, 29 Mar 2005, 11:46pm Post subject:
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Full House
Joined: 18 Apr 2004
Posts: 794
WPP: 208
Location: Los Angeles
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| JJ, AJ and QQ-AA are out of the question here. If you know your opponent VERY well you can make this fold here and pin him on 99 as you know he won't be re-re-raising with J9 in his hand. Although most the time this is a 'lose all your money' scenario. |
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Posted: Wed, 30 Mar 2005, 12:21am Post subject:
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| allLiving wrote: | | JJ, AJ and QQ-AA are out of the question here. If you know your opponent VERY well you can make this fold here and pin him on 99 as you know he won't be re-re-raising with J9 in his hand. Although most the time this is a 'lose all your money' scenario. |
Uh, I'd re-re-raise with J9, expecially at 50NL every single time. |
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Posted: Wed, 30 Mar 2005, 6:46am Post subject:
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Full House
Joined: 29 Nov 2004
Posts: 1254
WPP: 83
Location: Sweden
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| H Dogg wrote: | | I honestly DONT make this fold, on the basis that he didnt raise preflop, and you says he raises big hands preflop. Personally, I would put him on J9 or Jx, either way, I think I would call the 50 and gauge it from there. |
Problem is this guy was perhaps seeing 20% of the flops so he would likely not play J9 or any other Jx than JA. He was also good enough to know not to re-re raise TPTK with such deep stacks, so JA was pretty much out of the question. For many tight players including myself 99 is a limping hand from most positions and in most situations.
The more I think about it the more I lean towards that pushing here was a mistake and that I should have folded. All the information was there and I ignored it. |
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Posted: Wed, 30 Mar 2005, 7:57am Post subject:
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Two Pair
Joined: 14 Dec 2004
Posts: 37
WPP: 132
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| Losing to a higher set is definitely one of this game's most annoying tricks. If he was in one of the blinds and checked to the flop, you could easily put him on two pair, but against a good player, like you said, 99 can be a limping hand. Having a lower pocket pair against an opponent is always a recipe for playing a hand uphill. I guess you just admit that he played the hand well and beat you, and just move on. |
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Posted: Wed, 30 Mar 2005, 11:13am Post subject:
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Flush
Joined: 11 Feb 2005
Posts: 564
WPP: 133
Location: Norway
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| I would have lost my stack here as well...and I would have made a little note on the player saying "not raising 99". |
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Posted: Thu, 31 Mar 2005, 7:06am Post subject:
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Full House
Joined: 12 Jan 2005
Posts: 1461
WPP: 122
Location: wearing the honors of honor and whatnot
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its pretty standard not to raise 99 imo. why would you?
and, i've thought about laying down a set before also. guy i'd been playing with for a while had been playing solid, and really been catching some hands against me. anyway, it comes around, i end up with a set of 4's vs. his set of kings, both flopped. i bet big on the river, he reraised, i just called. closest i've ever come to laying down a set because of fear of a higher one. |
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Posted: Thu, 31 Mar 2005, 7:32am Post subject:
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Full House
Joined: 23 May 2004
Posts: 611
WPP: 82
Location: Crypto 6max 100NL
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| I was in a similar position with 55 on a board of 45J, the guy re-raised me all in and i put him on either 44 or JJ, fortunately it was 44, but i figured even if he did have JJ i should call in case i was wrong |
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Posted: Thu, 31 Mar 2005, 1:25pm Post subject:
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Two Pair
Joined: 31 Mar 2005
Posts: 30
WPP: 214
Location: Massachusetts
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Bill,
this is one of those hands that I don't sweat later on because I would have pinned him on J-9, or assumed that maybe he had only top pair and was trying to buy the pot. Its kind of hard to think that your set is not the best hand out there. This is just my oppinion and I am not by any means a great poker player but I would have lost my stack on this hand too. |
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Posted: Thu, 31 Mar 2005, 3:57pm Post subject:
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4-of-a-Kind
Joined: 24 Dec 2004
Posts: 1721
WPP: 155
Location: B N L
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| Ive learned that when that inner voice starts whispering in my ear I end up being pissed at msyelf for not listening to it. |
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Nov 24th: FTR $100 Freeroll @ Sportsbook Poker at 8pm ET
