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Posted: Wed, 23 Apr 2008, 10:41am Post subject: |
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Lost $421.60 on my Tuesday bets. Note that the bet on Boston was cancelled as one of the starters did not start the game.
Here are my bets for Wednesday:
$140 on Washington +179 (Santana/Redding must start)
$110 on Tampa Bay +127 (Halladay/Hamel must start)
$150 on NY Yankees +132 (Mussina/Vazquez must start)
$160 on LA Angels +162 (Garland/Matsuzaka must start) |
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Posted: Thu, 24 Apr 2008, 8:15am Post subject: |
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Won $197.70 on my Wednesday bets. Note that once again the bet on Boston was cancelled as one of the starters did not start the game.
Here are my bets for Thursday:
$160 on Washington +120 (Hill/Perez must start)
$130 on Chicago WS +107 (Hughes/Floyd must start)
$170 on LA Angels +100 (Saunders/Masterson must start)
I have not made a bet on the Toronto game yet as a clear favorite has not emerged. Will post the bet here once I have made it. |
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Posted: Fri, 25 Apr 2008, 4:50am Post subject: |
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Won $501.10 on my Thursday bets. I never did get a bet in on the Toronto game but was fortunate to go 3-0 on the other games.
Here are my bets for Friday:
$140 on Atlanta +123 (Jurrgens/Pelfrey must start)
$120 on Cleveland +111 (Pettitte/Byrd must start)
$150 on Tampa Bay +101 (Wakefield/Garza must start)
$100 on Kansas City +102 (Burnett/Greinke must start) |
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Posted: Fri, 25 Apr 2008, 8:39am Post subject: |
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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| MONEY UPDATE / (SINCE START OF SEASON): - $179.22 through Thursday bets. |
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Posted: Fri, 25 Apr 2008, 8:22pm Post subject: |
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Won $558.90 on my Friday bets as I went 4-0.
Here are my bets for Saturday:
$130 on Atlanta +107 (Hudson/Maine must start)
$140 on Tampa Bay +117 (Buchholz/Jackson must start)
$100 on Kansas City +112 (Marcum/Hochevar must start)
No clear favorite on the NY Yankees game as of yet so will delay my bet until closer to game time. |
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Posted: Sat, 26 Apr 2008, 8:28am Post subject: |
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Here is my final bet for Saturday:
$110 on Cleveland +100 (Kennedy/Sowers must start) |
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Posted: Sat, 26 Apr 2008, 8:02pm Post subject: |
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Won $255.80 on my Saturday bets as I went 3-1.
Here are my bets for Sunday:
$130 on NY Mets +113 (Smoltz/Figueroa must start)
$130 on Tampa Bay +112 (Beckett/Shields must start)
$100 on Toronto +102 (Litsch/Meche must start)
$100 on Cleveland +102 (Wang/Sabathia must start) |
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Posted: Mon, 28 Apr 2008, 6:41am Post subject: |
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Won $294.50 on my Sunday bets as I went 3-1.
Here are my bets for Monday:
$100 on Pittsburgh +212 (Snell/Santana must start)
$110 on Cleveland +103 (Mussina/Laffey must start)
$22 on San Francisco -1.5 +224 (Morales/Cain must start)
MONEY UPDATE / (SINCE START OF SEASON): + $929.98 through Sunday bets. |
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Posted: Tue, 29 Apr 2008, 5:04am Post subject: |
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Lost $60.72 on my Monday bets. The NY Mets game was postponed.
Here are my bets for Tuesday:
$120 on Boston +102 (Halladay/Lester must start)
$120 on Detroit +122 (Rogers/Hughes must start)
I will make a bet later in the day on the NY Mets.
I will continue to list bets I make using this system through the end of April. If there is anybody out there that wants me to continue listing my bets here past that point let me know. Regards, HockeyBoy. |
Last edited by HockeyBoy on Wed, 30 Apr 2008, 9:10am; edited 1 time in total
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Posted: Tue, 29 Apr 2008, 12:51pm Post subject: |
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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One additional bet for today:
$100 on Pittsburgh +212 (Snell/Santana must start) |
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Posted: Wed, 30 Apr 2008, 9:21am Post subject: |
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Won $168.80 on my Tuesday bets. Please note that I bet Detroit in the Det./NYY game. I have corrected the team in my betting summation above. Odds as listed previously. I just put the wrong team down.
Here are my bets for Wednesday:
$120 on Pittsburgh +152 (Gorzelanny/Perez must start)
$90 on Toronto +152 (McGowan/Matsuzaka must start)
$100 on Detroit +127 (Bonderman/Pettitte must start)
$20 on San Francisco -1.5 +200 (Jimenez/Sanchez must start) |
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Posted: Wed, 30 Apr 2008, 7:54pm Post subject: |
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Straight
Joined: 20 Sep 2006
Posts: 156
WPP: 125
Location: Toronto
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Won $199.40 on my Wednesday bets. That concludes the first month of betting using this system. My initial bankroll of $10,000 has shown a healthy profit through the first month of the baseball season.
MONEY UPDATE / (SINCE START OF SEASON): + $1,237.46 through Wednesday (end of April) bets .
Hopefully I have benefitted some of you out there that have stuck with this system from the beginning of the season. I will continue to make bets at this end. I recommend you do the same. This system has been a moneymaker for me for five consecutive baseball seasons. I will do a monthly update from here on in unless there is interest in continuing my daily updates. Best Regards, HockeyBoy. |
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Posted: Fri, 02 May 2008, 5:55am Post subject: |
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Straight
Joined: 13 Feb 2007
Posts: 220
WPP: 82
Location: Lincoln, UK
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Posted: Mon, 02 Jun 2008, 8:02pm Post subject: |
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3-of-a-Kind
Joined: 16 May 2006
Posts: 79
WPP: 119
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Way late bump.
I decided to try ghost-betting this system (I want to try to make money eventually, but I don't have startup capital yet) with different teams to see how it would perform and I just have a few questions I hope you'll eventually notice and answer.
First, is there a specific number of teams I should be betting on? Like, you're using 3, but would using 4 or 5 be detrimental? Should I only be risking around a certain percentage of my roll on each game? (I'm just using the moneyline part, not the runline)
Second, does it make a massive difference that I've chosen different teams? I started a bit later in the season so I got some opinions on what teams would likely be generating the most action based on their performance so far and have been betting with/against them.
I haven't been going for terribly long, but my results are overwhelming red so far, which leads me to my second question. Is it normal to have stretches where you lose the majority of your bets? I'm just wondering if a long stretch of negatives will be made up for by a few days of positive. I'm seeing from your April results that this system gets pretty swongy. Do you expect that it typically ends positive?
For reference I'm using BOS, CHC, FLA, LAA, and STL as the teams to bet with/against and so far the favorite is consistently winning. Opinions there are welcomed as well. I haven't put real money on this yet but I certainly expect to at some point. |
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Posted: Fri, 06 Jun 2008, 6:35am Post subject: |
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Straight
Joined: 13 Feb 2007
Posts: 220
WPP: 82
Location: Lincoln, UK
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I'm no expert but ill chip in till HockeyBoy gets back to us.
| zxqv8 wrote: |
First, is there a specific number of teams I should be betting on? Like, you're using 3, but would using 4 or 5 be detrimental? Should I only be risking around a certain percentage of my roll on each game? (I'm just using the moneyline part, not the runline) |
I think the general advice is to not risk more than 2.5% of your bankroll on any given bet, going down to 1% if your doing it for a living.
| zxqv8 wrote: |
Second, does it make a massive difference that I've chosen different teams? I started a bit later in the season so I got some opinions on what teams would likely be generating the most action based on their performance so far and have been betting with/against them. |
I think it does make a difference, HockeyBoy chose the teams because of the better odds offered for the opposition, due to them being the big/popular teams.
Of course you might have differing opinions on whether a team is getting backed more heavily because of public hype or whatever. I suppose working this out is what makes you a good sports bettor.
| zxqv8 wrote: |
I haven't been going for terribly long, but my results are overwhelming red so far, which leads me to my second question. Is it normal to have stretches where you lose the majority of your bets? I'm just wondering if a long stretch of negatives will be made up for by a few days of positive. I'm seeing from your April results that this system gets pretty swongy. Do you expect that it typically ends positive? |
Sportsbetting is as swongy as hell from what I can tell, kinda like heads up poker, the money only goes one way or the other.
| zxqv8 wrote: |
For reference I'm using BOS, CHC, FLA, LAA, and STL as the teams to bet with/against and so far the favorite is consistently winning. Opinions there are welcomed as well. I haven't put real money on this yet but I certainly expect to at some point. |
I suspect we lose more bets than we win, since our big teams usually end up with a record >.500, but the better odds we're getting make up for this. |
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Posted: Fri, 06 Jun 2008, 7:57pm Post subject: |
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3-of-a-Kind
Joined: 16 May 2006
Posts: 79
WPP: 119
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Thanks for the reply, definitely makes sense, I'll have to watch more sportscenter and talk to more people.
Good part of this is that I get to see what kind of odds teams are typically laid. I'm keeping a spreadsheet tracking the odds of 5 different sportsbooks (Bodog, betus, pinnacle, carib, matchbook) at the same time and hypothetically picking the best. After a while I'll not only get a feel for which teams generate the best odds, but also which sites see the most action. |
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