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Posted: Thu, 15 Oct 2009, 6:28am Post subject: AQ in the BB on the bubble, LAGG shoves ($27)
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Straight Flush
Joined: 07 Jul 2005
Posts: 9487
WPP: 127
Location: Sydney
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Opp's stats were something like 27/22 up to this point. I didn't have any more specific reads than this but from memory he was shoving quite a lot.
I did run this in Wiz but I won't post the results just yet. What would you do in game?
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 27 Tournament, 100/200 Blinds 25 Ante (4 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
SB (t5655)
Hero (BB) (t2695)
UTG (t2490)
Button (t2660)
Hero's M: 6.74
Preflop: Hero is BB with Q , A
1 fold, Button bets t2635 (All-In), 1 fold, Hero ???? |
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Posted: Thu, 15 Oct 2009, 8:58pm Post subject:
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Season VII
Joined: 04 Aug 2004
Posts: 2913
WPP: 106
Location: HotLanta
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| from looking at his stats and knowing that he has started shoving pretty wide here it "appears" that he is aware of fold equity and is therefore a somewhat decent player so I would call here but this is at the VERY bottom of my calling range. |
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Posted: Fri, 16 Oct 2009, 10:06am Post subject:
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High Card
Joined: 29 Oct 2006
Posts: 10
WPP: 94
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| Surely it's a fold? Both have 13BB, even if you're 60/40 or better do you really want to risk it? I'll run it in Wiz though. |
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Posted: Fri, 16 Oct 2009, 12:22pm Post subject:
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Flush
Joined: 12 Oct 2008
Posts: 368
WPP: 214
Location: Stackton
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| What is the prize distribution Tai? It looks like a 1-table SNG and I fold. Can you comment a bit on the stats? Since it is 4-handed, his stats must be different than they were in the beginning. |
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Posted: Fri, 16 Oct 2009, 2:32pm Post subject:
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Two Pair
Joined: 02 Apr 2009
Posts: 44
WPP: 535
Location: UK
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| You are probably 60 - 40 or better and the pot odds are a bit better than 1:1, so its an easy cash game/miles from the money call, but the spanner in the works is ICM. My instinct is to call, but I would not like doing so much and I'd definitely fold AJ in this spot. |
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Posted: Fri, 16 Oct 2009, 5:30pm Post subject:
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Straight Flush
Joined: 07 Jul 2005
Posts: 9487
WPP: 127
Location: Sydney
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| Extremophile wrote: | | What is the prize distribution Tai? It looks like a 1-table SNG and I fold. Can you comment a bit on the stats? Since it is 4-handed, his stats must be different than they were in the beginning. |
Payout structure is the standard 1-table SNG 50/30/20. Can't really comment any more on the stats since I was playing 3 other tables at the time, but I do remember he had been shoving quite a bit (I can't tell you how often) since it reached 5-handed. |
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Posted: Fri, 23 Oct 2009, 12:38pm Post subject:
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3-of-a-Kind
Joined: 11 Sep 2006
Posts: 98
WPP: 219
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| My thoughts are that calling is correct, since his stats indicate he's shoving with a lot of hands we dominate (Ax, KQ). Tell us what SNG Wiz said please. |
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Posted: Fri, 23 Oct 2009, 6:16pm Post subject:
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Straight Flush
Joined: 07 Jul 2005
Posts: 9487
WPP: 127
Location: Sydney
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| cag8f wrote: | | My thoughts are that calling is correct, since his stats indicate he's shoving with a lot of hands we dominate (Ax, KQ). Tell us what SNG Wiz said please. |
From memory it said that calling was +EV provided that he's shoving at least 20% of hands, which I think he would be. The other relevant fact is that there wasn't a small stack around. |
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Posted: Sat, 24 Oct 2009, 5:17am Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 17 Nov 2007
Posts: 198
WPP: 73
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Time for WIz. Even if SB pushes 100% hands, it is -EV to call.
More interesting is if the level of the blinds is 200/400/25.
You can call if you think that SB pushes wider than best 35% hands. |
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Posted: Thu, 05 Nov 2009, 10:28pm Post subject:
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Full House
Joined: 17 Jul 2007
Posts: 1376
WPP: 88
Location: Just runnin...
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^^^^
the BTN is shoving. And calling here is certainly +EV as far as i know. If he was in fact shoving any two (the btn that is) we can prob call all types of grossly wide , but putting him on ATC isn't really realistic with the limited reads provided.
It's been prob a year since i played a 9 man so im likely rusty with ICM but i for sure snap this
i think AJo/A10s is closer. Im calling for sure 88+ AJs+ AQo+ |
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Posted: Fri, 06 Nov 2009, 12:16pm Post subject:
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3-of-a-Kind
Joined: 23 Jul 2008
Posts: 109
WPP: 115
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| I insta-fold here. Standard bubble play, right? Frankly, I probably need KK, AA to call. In real life, I would have a hard time folding QQ, AK. |
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Posted: Fri, 06 Nov 2009, 6:15pm Post subject:
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Straight Flush
Joined: 07 Jul 2005
Posts: 9487
WPP: 127
Location: Sydney
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| RockyMoose wrote: | | I insta-fold here. Standard bubble play, right? Frankly, I probably need KK, AA to call. In real life, I would have a hard time folding QQ, AK. |
I don't think it's an instafold at all, it would be if there was a short stack around, so I think it's very dependent on Button's shove range. |
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Posted: Fri, 06 Nov 2009, 7:57pm Post subject:
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Straight
Joined: 17 Nov 2007
Posts: 198
WPP: 73
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| Lance wrote: | Time for WIz. Even if SB pushes 100% hands, it is -EV to call.
More interesting is if the level of the blinds is 200/400/25.
You can call if you think that SB pushes wider than best 35% hands. |
Huh, i reversed stacks between SB and button..
Nevertheless, if villain has 15% pushing range, you can call here with TT+, AKo |
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