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Posted: Mon, 30 Jun 2008, 6:02pm Post subject: 50NL Betsizing for rivered top 2
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Full House
Joined: 02 Jan 2006
Posts: 997
WPP: 79
Location: IN UR BOX HAXXING UR FILEZ
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Villain is tight-passive, running about 25/0/3.5 after 30 hands or so. It seems like the J helped him somehow, giving him a worse 2 pair or a set. What's my raise?
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
MP ($39.05)
CO ($43.85)
Button ($51.95)
Hero ($52)
BB ($80.45)
UTG ($70.10)
Preflop: Hero is SB with K , J .
1 fold, MP calls $0.50, CO calls $0.50, 1 fold, Hero completes, BB checks.
Flop: ($2) 2, K, 6 (4 players)
Hero bets $2, BB folds, MP calls $2, CO folds.
Turn: ($6) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $2, Hero calls $2.
River: ($10) J (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $10.5 |
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Posted: Mon, 30 Jun 2008, 6:10pm Post subject:
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Flush
Joined: 19 Sep 2007
Posts: 384
WPP: 89
Location: On Tony Romo's nuts
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| Only two pair that river gave him is jj22. |
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Posted: Mon, 30 Jun 2008, 6:32pm Post subject:
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Full House
Joined: 02 Jan 2006
Posts: 997
WPP: 79
Location: IN UR BOX HAXXING UR FILEZ
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| pankfish wrote: | | Only two pair that river gave him is jj22. |
J6 also, though I doubt this would be here.
But how much do I raise? Or just I just call? |
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Posted: Mon, 30 Jun 2008, 7:05pm Post subject:
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Flush
Joined: 19 Sep 2007
Posts: 384
WPP: 89
Location: On Tony Romo's nuts
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I don't think you can put J6 in his range here unless you've seen that he is playing any two suited cards. 66 and KJ is about all he is realistically representing here. He probably plays A2s but I don't know how often he is calling on the flop with it.
I think you are ahead most of the time but behind anything that is calling a raise. Maybe he'll puke call a min-raise with a king or a decent jack if he was floating with like A J or something. JJ is discounted even with his stats we can't put a hand like JJ in his range after 30 hands unless he has shown that he is limping with hands as strong.
Your hand looks weaker than it is so he is probably just taking a shot in the dark on the river. I think calling is the best play.
I don't like the complete here at all though. Playing KJos in a hand that is going to be 4 way on the flop has pretty bad reverse implied odds. I would probably bump it up to $2.50 and play with the initiative. |
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Posted: Mon, 30 Jun 2008, 10:45pm Post subject:
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4-of-a-Kind
Joined: 01 Feb 2007
Posts: 2126
WPP: 48
Location: Gainesville
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| Betting that river yourself is so much better than check-raising it. |
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Posted: Mon, 30 Jun 2008, 10:49pm Post subject:
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midstakes donk
Joined: 08 Sep 2005
Posts: 2979
WPP: 43
Location: flattin ur 4bets, makin u tilt
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| i think that you should just call for sure |
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Posted: Tue, 01 Jul 2008, 4:05am Post subject:
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Full House
Joined: 29 Mar 2007
Posts: 1334
WPP: 83
Location: Deventer
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| Betting river is better, but as played call. |
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Restricted FTR $200 Freeroll at FullTilt on November 23rd
