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Posted: Tue, 08 Jul 2008, 6:32am Post subject: AKo in BB, Button and SB both shove ($27) |
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Straight Flush
Joined: 07 Jul 2005
Posts: 7988
WPP: 134
Location: Sydney
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Button's stats were 43/11 over 35 and SB's were 6/3 over 70. Button should be shoving pretty wide and SB might be shoving over to isolate. What's your move?
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t150 (7 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
Button (t1045)
SB (t1790)
Hero (t1795)
UTG (t2940)
MP1 (t1620)
MP2 (t1225)
CO (t3085)
Preflop: Hero is BB with A , K .
4 folds, Button raises to t1045, SB raises to t1790, Hero ???? |
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Posted: Tue, 08 Jul 2008, 7:26am Post subject: |
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Flush
Joined: 12 Sep 2007
Posts: 576
WPP: 73
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| looking at the SB's stats, I say fold, but that feels nitty.... I put button on Ax, any two broadway, 44/66+, and SB on 88+ AJ+. I don't have an ICM program, so I can't run this through anywhere, but I think I fold, kick a small child, and steal a puppy from my neighbor. |
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Posted: Tue, 08 Jul 2008, 7:40am Post subject: |
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Straight Flush
Joined: 29 Aug 2004
Posts: 4041
WPP: 65
Location: Stars $16 and $27 Sngs
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| Given how tight SB is I think I fold here, I call with QQ-AA |
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Posted: Tue, 08 Jul 2008, 9:05am Post subject: |
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Flush
Joined: 31 Jan 2006
Posts: 477
WPP: 120
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| I think this is a push(call), and my gut feeling is that it really isn't as borderline as it feels. SB's stack is not that far ahead of the blinds, he is probably aware of Buttons range (large range). Yes, this is AA/KK sometimes, but I don't think AA/KK is any more likely in this particular situation than most other pre flop spots with AK. |
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Posted: Tue, 08 Jul 2008, 9:10am Post subject: |
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Straight Flush
Joined: 18 Aug 2004
Posts: 6470
WPP: 65
Location: Somewhere in middle america
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| I think he could do this with a few worse As, I would go ahead and gamble but I don't think it's a big mistake either way, you're 30-40 % getting 2/1. |
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Posted: Tue, 08 Jul 2008, 9:35am Post subject: |
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4-of-a-Kind
Joined: 30 Dec 2004
Posts: 3324
WPP: 154
Location: Ellicott City, MD
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| I think this could go either way, depending on how often the rest of the table has been opening and how often they will fold to your shoves in the future. If button is able to limp/fold often (as his stats suggests), then I find another argument for folding: not only will SB (who is definitely going to survive) open relatively few pots (based on his stats), but if BU survives he will throw some extra dead money in for you later as well. |
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Posted: Wed, 09 Jul 2008, 4:08am Post subject: |
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Royal Flush
Joined: 12 Dec 2003
Posts: 17382
WPP: 82
Location: Walk the Walk, Flop the Flop.
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Gamble, with a t150bb and 7 players remaining you're going to have to gamble soon anyway and you're unlikey to find a better spot.
My stupid cash player call range here would be at least AQs/AK/TT+ |
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