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4-betting range hypothetical

  
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spoonitnow
Post Posted: Wed, 23 Jul 2008, 9:40am    Post subject: 4-betting range hypothetical Reply with quote
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You're 8-handed, 100bb deep all around, $0.50/1 blinds on PokerStars. It's folded to you in the HJ, and you raise to 4x. The cutoff folds, and the button (a total unknown) 3-bets to 12x. What is your 4-betting range, and why?
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pgil
Post Posted: Wed, 23 Jul 2008, 9:54am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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I don't think I 4bet complete unknowns. if anything it would be AA/KK for value, but that may be about it, and not everytime.
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badgers
Post Posted: Wed, 23 Jul 2008, 10:08am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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I don't think an unknown is 3betting in that situation that 4betting for value either as a bluff or for value is the best play
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spoonitnow
Post Posted: Wed, 23 Jul 2008, 11:17am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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badgers wrote:
I don't think an unknown is 3betting in that situation that 4betting for value either as a bluff or for value is the best play


....and why?
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Fnord
Post Posted: Wed, 23 Jul 2008, 11:21am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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AA/KK/(QQ/AK) or more depending on what I think of him for value.
Throw in a bunch of suited connectors, suited Aces or smaller pairs as a bruff.

These spots are all about flow and the other guy's range.
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spoonitnow
Post Posted: Wed, 23 Jul 2008, 11:28am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Fnord wrote:
AA/KK/(QQ/AK) or more depending on what I think of him for value.
Throw in a bunch of suited connectors, suited Aces or smaller pairs as a bruff.

These spots are all about flow and the other guy's range.

How much of SCs and Axs and small PPs? There's not much to know about flow or the other guy's range if he's an unknown, which is the fun part of the question.
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Renton
Post Posted: Wed, 23 Jul 2008, 11:46am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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probably just AK and AA tbh
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Fnord
Post Posted: Wed, 23 Jul 2008, 11:46am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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I rarely 4-bet bruff unknowns.
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badgers
Post Posted: Wed, 23 Jul 2008, 1:00pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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spoonitnow wrote:
badgers wrote:
I don't think an unknown is 3betting in that situation that 4betting for value either as a bluff or for value is the best play


....and why?


Sorry just to fmp i meant to put that they're not "3betting enough" in that situation.

It's really hard to define an unknowns range in that situation, we don't know if this is a LAG, TAG, LP, maniac,nit, etc. etc. Against an unknown with AA even OOP I feel like it is best to call and trap. I know that the standard in 6max is different, however unknowns in 6max are going to be 3betting and stacking off wider so that makes 4betting better as it will get less respect and therefore more value.

I guess it also kinda depends on the 3bet sizing as well, the smaller the 3bet the more likely I am to 4bet as I want a small SPR to compensate for playing the hand OOP. The same applies for how deep we are, ie. the deeper we are the more I will 4bet. I won't balance my 4betting range against complete unknowns, however even 20 hands can give you some indication of how they're playing.

As a bluff I don't like this as well. AA/KK/AK makes up a big portion of an unknowns 3betting range in my experience, and there's no point "balancing" or trying to get an "optimal" bluffing frequency when we don't even know their range. I don't think game theory is applicable to this particular situation since we don't have a clue what their range is, and bluffing at all maay be horrible here if they're going to stack off with their entire 3betting range which wouldn't be that unusual imo.
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badgers
Post Posted: Wed, 23 Jul 2008, 1:17pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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on second reading i see that you have specified the stacks and 3bet size so just ignore that paragraph
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allabout
Post Posted: Wed, 23 Jul 2008, 2:26pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Agreed against an unknown I 4 bet pretty much only AA, KK, AK. This is assuming absolutely no reads (like this is the first time you've seen him 3bet, haven't seen many showdowns etc). Why? 'Cause if I 4bet (even bluffing), I'm calling ai most of the time, and vs an unknow it does absolutely nothing for metagame.
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allabout
Post Posted: Thu, 24 Jul 2008, 12:58pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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Ya know I've actually been thinking about this a lot lately, and had something pop in my head. If I raise in the HJ and the button 3bets as an unknow, maybe I should be 4betting much lighter. Why? Because I'm unknown to him as well and therefore my 4 bets should get tons of credit to an unknown.
Maybe I don't need to stack off with every hand I 4 bet, especially against an unknown. Even a fairly weekish 4 bet should get a lot of credit, so say I raise to 4x he raises to 12x, if I raise to say even 28x or so he can only really call or raise w/AA or KK I would think. Or maybe this would just be giving away money, but when I thought about, "hey, my answer is about the same as the other guys here", I thought, "maybe it should be different if thats how the regulars play." Anyway, thanks for provoking more thought spoon.
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daven
Post Posted: Thu, 24 Jul 2008, 2:56pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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If I'm feeling nitty = likely.

AA - most of the time, but a case can be made for calling and then check-raising any flop all-in.
KK - occasionally, fold to 5-bet and fearing AA if they call.

Until they prove otherwise, typically i assign a 100bb unknown a 3-betting range of AA/KK. AA I generally 4-bet here, but only cos an unknown is likely to call with KK then bet the flop hard if checked to. KK I flat. AK i tend to fold, other pairs I call - but take care post plop.
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badgers
Post Posted: Thu, 24 Jul 2008, 4:30pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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daven wrote:
KK - occasionally, fold to 5-bet and fearing AA if they call.


Puke
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daven
Post Posted: Thu, 24 Jul 2008, 5:38pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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badgers wrote:
daven wrote:
KK - occasionally, fold to 5-bet and fearing AA if they call.


Puke

ooops, 100bb deep. Ok, then I like 4-betting KK even less here.
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badgers
Post Posted: Thu, 24 Jul 2008, 5:42pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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meh even if we're deep i hate the idea of 4bet/folding KK
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allabout
Post Posted: Thu, 24 Jul 2008, 6:18pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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daven wrote:
badgers wrote:
daven wrote:
KK - occasionally, fold to 5-bet and fearing AA if they call.


Puke

ooops, 100bb deep. Ok, then I like 4-betting KK even less here.


Why don't you like 4betting KK 100bb's deep?
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daven
Post Posted: Thu, 24 Jul 2008, 7:21pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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allabout wrote:
daven wrote:
badgers wrote:
daven wrote:
KK - occasionally, fold to 5-bet and fearing AA if they call.


Puke

ooops, 100bb deep. Ok, then I like 4-betting KK even less here.


Why don't you like 4betting KK 100bb's deep?

i like 4-betting KK 100bb deep, but not sure if there's any value doing so against an unknown.
Spoon put it best in another post - why do we raise?
to fold better hands
to get more money from worse hands

agaisnt most unknowns neither is happening here if we 4-bet..
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spoonitnow
Post Posted: Thu, 24 Jul 2008, 7:42pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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daven wrote:
allabout wrote:
daven wrote:
badgers wrote:
daven wrote:
KK - occasionally, fold to 5-bet and fearing AA if they call.


Puke

ooops, 100bb deep. Ok, then I like 4-betting KK even less here.


Why don't you like 4betting KK 100bb's deep?

i like 4-betting KK 100bb deep, but not sure if there's any value doing so against an unknown.
Spoon put it best in another post - why do we raise?
to fold better hands
to get more money from worse hands

agaisnt most unknowns neither is happening here if we 4-bet..

Note that better hands never fold preflop on purpose when we have KK.

Just a thought.
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spoonitnow
Post Posted: Fri, 25 Jul 2008, 7:39pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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I've been playing around with writing a program to help me automate certain common calculations I do when forming ranges against specific opponents and crap like that (a more functional and somewhat glorified spreadsheet tbh), and I got to thinking about facing 3-bets against unknowns and yadda yadda yadda we have this thread. I've been thinking about similar problems and here's a fun example with a constraint on raise-sizing and not being able to call.

So say that 100bb deep we are restricted in our actions so that we can only raise to 4x, 4-bet to 32x, or fold, and villain can only 3-bet to 12x, 5-bet shove, or fold. We are in the cutoff, villain is in the button, and the blinds fold (we have raised to 4x, villain 3-bets to 12x, etc.) After 1.5bb in blinds, we raise to 4x, and villain 3-bets to 12x. Since he's betting 12bb to win 5.5bb he has to take it down 68.57% of the time to break even, so to make bluffing have the same EV as folding for villain, we should be 4-betting 31.43% of the time. Similarly, we have the choice to 4-bet to 32bb, when villain has the option to make a 5-bet shove. He'll be betting 88bb to win a pot of 45.5bb, and along similar lines as above he'll need to take it down 65.92% of the time, meaning we should call 34.08% of the time to make a 5-bet bluff have the same EV as folding without taking into account the showdown equity of when we call and what range we call with.

While this particular fantasy scenario isn't all that important by itself, it gives us some ideas about how our ranges should break down in each position against unknown players when we take into consideration the real world (ability to bet any amount, different sized stacks than 100bb, ability to call, other players in the pot, balance, etc.)
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bjsaust
Post Posted: Fri, 25 Jul 2008, 8:46pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
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We cant assume an unknown wont continue with JJ+,AK, so saying that 4-betting KK doesnt get called by worse is just wrong.
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spoonitnow
Post Posted: Sat, 26 Jul 2008, 6:10am    Post subject: Reply with quote
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bjsaust wrote:
We cant assume an unknown wont continue with JJ+,AK, so saying that 4-betting KK doesnt get called by worse is just wrong.

It's not necessarily that 4-betting KK doesn't get called by worse, but if we just call the 3-bet with KK then we force villain to take a weaker range to the flop where we can [often] get more value than if we 4-bet.

Also, the typical 3-bet is to ~12bb which makes the flop pot ~25bb when we have ~88bb behind, for an SPR of ~3.5 which makes our hand pretty easy to play.

I'm not a huge fan of the play OOP because I rarely call 3-bets OOP with other hands, so it becomes kind of obvious what I have.