25k checkup, time to move up?

hey guys, thought I'd post my 25k hand stats and get some opinions on if I'm ready to move up or not.

Have been playing 6-max 0.5/1 LHE as my game most recently, at Stars and results are as follows.

Standard Deviation/100: 15.8514

Now bankroll isn't an issue for moving up to 1/2, am now at $3620, but according to the uDevil confidence calculator I'm only at 76.95% confidence of being a winner...and that is my concern

stats look fine, but 50-100k would be a better sample size.
VP and PFR should be closer together tho, imo.
However, if BR is not an issue and u have the confidence, u should try moving up.
If after a few ks hands, you dont feel it right or dont get good results, move back down for another while

Yeah, should have mentioned that I know my pfr is too low, have been working on getting it up but think it's a function of playing too nitty for 15k hands or so after coming from nl FR playing like 12/6....has been the hardest adjustment for me.

You play soooo tight...

Always hard to read you Fnord Smile

I'm aiming to try to get to around 24/20 overall so I thought for 6-max that my VP$IP was pretty good....are you saying that I'm playing too tight from the earlier positions and my VP$IP is around 24 only because I am too loose in the blinds, thus artificially increasing my VP$IP? Or is it that I'm just playing too tight for the limits I'm currently at?

I know that to increase my pfr I need to start raising with hands lilke 78s, Axs in earlier positions, etc but I'm finding that doing so at these limits isn't thining the field and I went on a bit of a downswing until I adjusted by playing tighter in all positions, bluffing less and value-betting more but I don't think it was enough hands for that to have had any effect on the stats.

I'm currently going through pokerstove to see where I can open up a bit more but am finding that I'm not comfortable raising with hands like A2o in UTG+1 (for example)....is this something I just have to get used to and learn to play?

Overall I thought my stats were looking ok, apart from PFR, so I am genuinly interested to hear suggestions on where to look at improving since I understand the "teach a man" philosophy you and others here seem to hold to but would also be nice to know if I'm on the right track with my thinking too Smile

I think your stats look pretty good and your BR is enough to move up. Hell, I'd play 10/20 with that BR!

At the lower limits, playing tighter preflop is ok I think for some of the reasons you mentioned, though 10% still seems pretty low. When you move up , you will definitely want to start increasing your pf raising range at least into the high teens because less people will be in each pot and the chance of winning the blinds outright increases.

A range like this for open-raising is my default:

UTG: 55+, A9+, KQ, A7s+, KTs+, QJs, JTs, T9s (14%)

UTG+1: 33+, A7+, KJ+, QJ, A4s+, K9s+, QTs+, J9s+, T8s+, 98s (20%)

CO: 22+, A5+, K9+, QT+, A2s+, K5s+, Q9s+, J8s+, T8s+, 97s+, 87s+, 76s+ (26%)

Btn: 22+, A3+, K9+, Q9+, J9+, T8+, 98+, A2s+, K2s+, Q4s+, J7s+, T8s+, 97s+, 86s+, 75s+, 65s+ (40%)

Having a wider range makes it harder for opponents to read your hand. They can't just assume you have overcards whenever the flop is 987.

Some of these hands I won't raise with if the players behind me are loose preflop but play decently postflop. If the blinds are tight preflop I will raise even more from LP.

Also, your WSD is a bit low at 33%, though that's probably because you are playing so many multiway pots. W$SD of 57% is great, but suggests you might be playing a bit too tight.

If you start calling down a few more hands in HU situations on the river and seeing if the pot odds justify the calls you're making you may be surprised at how many times opponents are just bluffing missed draws or outright junk and your A high or third pair or whatever is good.

Shit didn't notice it's limit. Man, you play tight.
Enjoy getting raked to death.

Looks pretty good offhand, although to me it seems you are running really, really well.

On the 2nd chart, it shows you are a winner with 1 pair hands. I don't think I have ever seen that in the green in anyone's graphs.

Short Handed LHE is a game of pushing small edges and not missing an edge. As the players get better you will find yourself having to play out more and more hands with little or no edge to avoid giving away a pretty big edge.

Profit = Edge - Rake

i cant believe DDog hasnt said to "take shots" at the next level w/o 300bb. the best advice i got was to play a range of limits, to find soft games, and carry about 150-300 bb for the highest level you play. reasoning: you wont often be playing at the highest end of your range.

if you are happy with your game, currently, take a shot for a few sessions and see how you feel after. you should know by now if you are playing well or if you are overmatched.

Fnord, i get the "rake kills you" angle.

but, if everyone pays the same % of rake, barring rb, why do we care? the field is level. some win, most dont. when we move higher, i suppose games get tough enough we just keep passing money around, so we start playing live a lot more...if we continue playing.

true, thats boring, but doesnt rb make it a bit easier to take? NL games are shit, imo. but, i suck at poker, so...i guess its not the same thing.

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25k checkup, time to move up?