Poker Strategy


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Pot Odds



Determining the pot odds is crucial to deciding whether to make the right call or not. It is correct to chase a hand if the bet vs. pot justifies the play. Below you'll see an example of playing a draw hand with many outs, and how the probabilities justify calling a bet:

Hand #X-X at X (No Limit Hold'em)
Powered by UltimateBet
Started at 26/Nov/03 17:31:18

The button is at seat 3.

Player4 posts the small blind of $.10.
Player5 posts the big blind of $.25.

Player0: -- --
Flop Turn River: 9s 7s
Player3: -- --
Player4: -- --
Player5: -- --
Player6: -- --
Player7: -- --
Player8: -- --
Player9: -- --

Pre-flop:

Player6 calls. Player7 calls. Player8 raises
to $.50. Player9 folds. Player0 folds.
Flop Turn River calls. Player3 calls. Player4 calls.
Player5 folds. Player6 calls. Player7 calls.
*In this hand I play 97 suited in late position. I don't often play this hand, but I felt the table was pretty loose/passive, so I gave it a shot.

Flop (board: Th 5d 8s):
*The flop gives me an open-ended straight draw. The table checks to me, so I figure this is an ideal situation to attempt a semi-bluff, I have only one player to my left to beat. I bet $2 hoping that everyone folds. Yet, if they do not, I hope to hit one of my 8 outs (four sevens or four jacks).

Player4 checks. Player6 checks. Player7 checks.
Player8 checks. Flop Turn River bets $2. Player3 folds.
Player4 folds. Player6 folds. Player7 folds.
Player8 calls.
*I bet $2 on my semi-bluff, unfortunately I have one caller.

Turn (board: Th 5d 8s 3s):
*The turn does not complete my straight, however I now have a flush draw as well. I try for one more semi-bluff, hoping to win the pot right here.

Player8 checks. Flop Turn River bets $2.25.
Player8 goes all-in for $5.55. Flop Turn River calls.
*I bet $2.25 this time, and Player8 re-raises me $3.30 and goes All-in. Uh-oh. Now it's time to calculate the pot odds. The pot is currently at $15.05. I have to include my opening bet into the pot because I can't take it back. So, I am looking at calling a $3.30 bet to win a pot of $15.05. I put my opponent on two pair, and figure my total number of outs have risen to 15 - I can hit either a spade, 6, or Jack to win this pot in my estimation. With one card coming, I have a 32.6% chance of hitting my card. The bet compared to the pot, $3.30/$15.05 = 22%, so I'm getting great odds to make this call. Of course, I'm not using a calculator to figure this out while I'm playing, but I do make the estimates in my head and recognize that I'm getting good odds to make the call, so I call it.

River (board: Th 5d 8s 3s Js):

(no action in this round)
*I hit a spade that completes my flush. (It's also a Jack that completes my straight!)

Showdown:

Player8 shows 8d 8c.
Player8 has 8d 8c Th 8s Js: three eights.
Flop Turn River shows 9s 7s.
Flop Turn River has 9s 7s 8s 3s Js: flush, jack high.
*I win the pot by making the right call. Player8 actually flopped trips. But she gave me too many opportunities to make my hand. If she would have re-raised me big after the flop (or even pre-flop!), I would have given the hand up (assuming I did not have the right pot odds!).

Hand #608930-11462 Summary:

$.90 is raked from a pot of $18.35.
Flop Turn River wins $17.45 with flush, jack high.

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Playing 99

Pre-flop Fold w/ AK

Limping w/ AA

Maniac Opponent II

Maniac Opponent

Slow Play

All-In w/ KK

Calling on the River

Pre-flop Fold w/ JJ

Flop Trips w/ JJ

Bad Bad Beat

Smooth Call

Reraise

Lay It Down

Bad Call

Flop The Nuts



Ultimate Bet

Pot Odds

Mixing It Up

Tough Fold

Pocket Rockets

Laydown

Flop The Nuts

The Nuts

Bad Slow Play

Bad Beat

Slow Play

Semi-Bluff


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